NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	3.6 [1055]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +10.4%
New Jersey Nets	83		Comeback	2.0 [716]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -17.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	11	59%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	77%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	16	65%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.05	4	71%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.01	0.04	11	84%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.03	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	55%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	60%	0.08	7	-0.13	8	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	8	11%	-0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	28.8	15.7	24.0	2.0	27.2	123.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.5%

DET +3.0%

DET +8.9%

DET +8.5%

DET +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	17.5	16.4	15.4	118.8	97.6	105.7
season	16.8	15.4		108.8	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		107.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.3	18.3	16.1	17.2	17.5
NJN	14.5	16.0	19.0	16.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	56	55	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.04	23	-5	28	17.3	17.8	-0.51	16.3	16.5	-0.12
Richard Hamilton	59	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-2	22	17.1	18.4	-1.34	17.3	14.3	3.00
Tayshaun Prince	56	57	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	0	18	17.5	17.4	0.07	16.6	16.0	0.63
Antonio McDyess	59	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	2	14	17.3	18.0	-0.67	16.8	15.4	1.45
Rasheed Wallace	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	6	6	17.9	16.7	1.22	17.1	14.9	2.20
Jason Maxiell	45	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	13	-8	18.4	16.5	1.83	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Rodney Stuckey	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	17	-16	16.5	17.8	-1.30	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Primoz Brezec	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	11.0	17.9	-6.90	12.8	16.6	-3.81
Amir Johnson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.2	17.7	-4.45	12.7	16.6	-3.82
Jarvis Hayes	39	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	20	-22	17.8	17.2	0.56	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Arron Afflalo	16	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	18	-18	18.2	17.3	0.85	14.6	16.8	-2.25
Lindsey Hunter	9	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	24	-30	20.8	17.1	3.67	17.5	16.2	1.26

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	23	22	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-18	18	17.7	15.9	1.79	17.4	17.5	-0.18
Bostjan Nachbar	38	38	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-18	18	14.9	17.6	-2.70	18.7	16.5	2.15
Billy Thomas	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	12.8	16.6	-3.81	11.0	17.9	-6.90
Malik Allen	29	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-16	14	16.2	16.5	-0.33	18.5	17.0	1.50
Darrell Armstrong	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-12	6	10.4	16.9	-6.49	14.9	17.7	-2.87
Jason Collins	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	-13	8	16.7	16.3	0.43	18.9	17.0	1.87
Josh Boone	51	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-8	-2	16.5	16.2	0.35	17.4	17.7	-0.33
Sean Williams	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	0	-18	17.0	15.3	1.73	16.9	18.5	-1.61
Vince Carter	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	-7	-4	17.3	13.3	3.97	17.5	17.4	0.06
Richard Jefferson	68	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	-1	-16	16.6	15.5	1.15	17.5	17.6	-0.08
Jason Kidd	63	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.08	-18	0	-18	15.9	17.8	-1.93	17.3	18.0	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, HOU 74	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIA 117, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAC 105, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%