NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	4.1 [960]		MVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): +17.4%
Washington Wizards	124		Comeback	2.0 [243]		LVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): -16.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	4	125%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Mario Elie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	70%	0.07	4	-0.05	11	82%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.02	0.03	13	67%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Brent Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Clyde Drexler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	17	47%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	8	0%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	16	72%	0.20	3	-0.02	11	82%	0.04
Tracy Murray	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	-0.00	0.06	15	84%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	24	59%	0.08	2	-0.05	13	69%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.01	-0.09	20	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.4	15.4	28.1	1.8	36.0	134.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.7%

HOU -5.0%

WAS +3.5%

WAS +25.0%

WAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	15.6	107.7	121.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		104.5	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.3	16.7	13.7	11.9	14.1
WAS	13.3	13.9	13.5	14.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	55	53	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	12.5	15.9	-3.44	14.7	13.0	1.74
Eddie Johnson	54	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-16	20	13.0	15.3	-2.28	15.0	12.7	2.33
Matt Bullard	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	15.0	13.6	1.40	13.1	14.2	-1.10
Kevin Willis	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-3	-6	13.8	14.6	-0.81	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Hakeem Olajuwon	86	83	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-8	4	13.7	15.9	-2.19	13.8	14.4	-0.60
Mario Elie	49	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	14.3	13.9	0.36	13.9	13.9	0.02
Charles Barkley	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	15.0	12.9	2.05	14.2	13.5	0.74
Clyde Drexler	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	2	-16	14.3	13.5	0.83	13.4	15.0	-1.61
Matt Maloney	49	49	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	6	-24	15.9	12.5	3.44	13.0	14.7	-1.74

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	90	90	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.12	13	-1	14	13.8	14.6	-0.79	14.2	13.1	1.16
Calbert Cheaney	97	97	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	0	12	13.7	17.2	-3.49	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Tracy Murray	78	79	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.05	15	-3	18	13.9	14.0	-0.10	14.8	11.7	3.16
Chris Webber	92	94	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	5	2	14.2	10.9	3.31	14.5	10.0	4.51
Ben Wallace	56	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	9	-6	13.1	14.8	-1.68	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Terry Davis	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	3	6	14.3	13.5	0.75	14.9	13.3	1.66
Harvey Grant	25	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	9	-6	13.8	13.9	-0.11	12.9	14.5	-1.60
Darvin Ham	6	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	13	-14	13.7	13.9	-0.23	9.7	14.4	-4.69
Chris Whitney	15	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	13	-14	15.5	13.6	1.86	11.6	14.6	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, NJN 106	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.67,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAC 98, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NYK 101, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%