NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	3.8 [1034]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +14.0%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	1.5 [724]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -12.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.05	16	67%	0.06	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	-0.10	17	39%	-0.01	4	-0.06	4	25%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	16	34%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	18	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	11	62%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Goodrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	60%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	0.07	17	55%	-0.05	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	10	30%	-0.03	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.5	31.3	18.6	26.0	1.6	28.4	130.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +36.5%

NJN +7.3%

NJN +13.0%

PHX -8.2%

NJN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NJN	NBA	PHX	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	15.6	90.6	111.6	102.3
season	15.1	14.7		101.0	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.8		98.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.0	15.0	15.9	10.6	14.3
NJN	16.0	15.7	13.4	18.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	28	27	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-20	21	11.3	15.6	-4.25	17.2	15.3	1.89
Alton Ford	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	6.8	14.8	-8.00	18.8	15.7	3.13
Tony Delk	49	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-15	11	12.5	16.2	-3.72	17.4	14.1	3.30
Jake Tsakalidis	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-14	9	17.2	13.7	3.56	17.4	15.5	1.92
Bo Outlaw	62	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-13	7	14.7	13.7	0.93	15.3	17.0	-1.71
Rodney Rogers	48	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-4	-11	13.0	15.6	-2.58	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Stephon Marbury	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-8	-3	14.6	13.2	1.40	15.5	17.1	-1.67
Tom Gugliotta	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-6	-7	14.4	14.3	0.15	15.9	15.8	0.04
Anfernee Hardaway	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.07	-21	2	-23	15.7	10.9	4.84	15.4	17.0	-1.61
Shawn Marion	76	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	4	-27	15.5	9.9	5.54	15.3	17.9	-2.62

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	76	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.31	30	-11	41	15.2	18.4	-3.24	14.9	11.9	3.01
Jason Kidd	68	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.34	29	-10	39	14.6	18.9	-4.22	14.8	13.0	1.83
Kerry Kittles	68	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.34	29	-10	39	14.6	18.9	-4.22	14.8	13.0	1.83
Todd MacCulloch	41	41	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	1	17	15.1	16.4	-1.29	16.5	12.7	3.80
Keith Van Horn	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	-1	21	15.4	17.1	-1.69	14.9	12.9	1.96
Aaron Williams	49	49	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	16	-13	16.1	15.5	0.64	13.4	15.3	-1.85
Steve Goodrich	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	18.8	15.7	3.13	6.8	14.8	-8.00
Jason Collins	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	18.8	15.7	3.13	6.8	14.8	-8.00
Derrick Dial	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	23	-27	20.3	15.7	4.65	6.7	14.6	-7.91
Brandon Armstrong	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.29	-10	29	-39	18.9	14.6	4.22	13.0	14.8	-1.83
Lucious Harris	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	25	-31	18.7	14.9	3.79	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Richard Jefferson	39	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	29	-39	17.5	14.7	2.85	13.4	15.0	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.67,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHA 84, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
GSW 92, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%