NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	4.2 [954]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +17.3%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	1.8 [1000]		LVP	Josh Powell (LAC): -15.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Fazekas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.01	0.08	10	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	23	53%	0.08	6	-0.07	7	43%	-0.04
Marcus Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	15	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00
Smush Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.09	6	64%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	14	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.20	-0.01	-0.05	6	6%	-0.12	4	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.08	0.03	14	72%	0.25	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	9	81%	0.12	3	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	8	80%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	9	32%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	29.3	15.8	26.3	2.6	33.5	135.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.6%

SAC +15.9%

LAC -19.4%

SAC +6.0%

SAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	13.5	15.4	98.0	112.2	105.7
season	15.6	14.9		99.5	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.0	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	16.6	18.0	12.9	15.6
SAC	13.3	10.8	13.3	16.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Fazekas	53	52	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-20	28	14.3	17.1	-2.78	14.3	12.5	1.77
Marcus Williams	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	9.4	15.9	-6.54	22.6	13.0	9.63
Smush Parker	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-17	22	14.1	16.3	-2.24	15.4	12.6	2.77
Josh Powell	46	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-9	6	16.0	15.2	0.80	13.5	13.5	0.02
Dan Dickau	49	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-10	8	16.4	14.9	1.53	13.5	13.4	0.10
Elton Brand	56	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-6	0	15.1	16.2	-1.14	13.5	13.4	0.16
Quinton Ross	60	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	3	-18	16.4	14.5	1.89	12.5	14.8	-2.31
Brevin Knight	43	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.7	15.5	0.24	12.8	14.0	-1.18
Corey Maggette	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	4	-20	15.8	15.0	0.72	13.1	14.8	-1.72
Al Thornton	79	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.01	-23	11	-34	16.3	13.0	3.30	12.9	15.4	-2.51

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	58	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.09	22	-10	32	12.1	15.4	-3.32	17.1	13.2	3.96
Metta World Peace	60	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-6	24	12.4	15.2	-2.77	16.6	14.0	2.55
Brad Miller	56	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-5	22	12.5	14.7	-2.24	16.8	14.0	2.86
Anthony Johnson	24	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-2	16	13.2	13.5	-0.33	17.9	14.9	3.03
Mikki Moore	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	2	8	13.2	13.9	-0.74	16.6	14.1	2.52
Francisco Garcia	74	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	14	-16	13.5	13.2	0.33	14.9	17.9	-3.03
Spencer Hawes	56	56	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	13	-14	13.7	13.1	0.68	13.9	17.8	-3.94
Shelden Williams	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	16	-20	16.3	12.6	3.66	13.5	16.2	-2.71
John Salmons	41	42	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	14.8	12.5	2.31	14.5	16.4	-1.87
Quincy Douby	40	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.24	-10	22	-32	15.4	12.1	3.32	13.2	17.1	-3.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 112, WAS 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHX 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
SAC 82, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%