NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	82		Excitement	3.6 [1078]		MVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): +17.2%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	1.6 [1171]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -13.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.01	0.11	8	71%	-0.01	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.07	-0.07	12	73%	0.24	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	18	55%	0.11	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	61%	0.06	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.08	3	100%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.08	6	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	0.08	6	77%	-0.00	4	-0.08	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	28.4	16.4	33.7	2.6	28.2	133.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +22.9%

HOU +14.9%

HOU +8.4%

HOU +3.7%

SAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	16.2	15.5	89.1	101.1	106.4
season	15.0	16.3		104.0	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.7	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.8	15.0	15.8	13.0	15.0
HOU	14.8	16.3	13.1	21.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-14	16	15.0	15.0	0.05	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Bobby Jackson	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.25	3	-15	18	14.8	15.1	-0.22	18.8	13.7	5.13
Shelden Williams	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.18	-12	0	-12	16.4	14.4	1.98	14.2	16.8	-2.65
Francisco Garcia	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	14.8	15.2	-0.34	17.7	14.0	3.72
John Salmons	51	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-7	2	15.2	14.7	0.54	14.2	18.7	-4.45
Jason Thompson	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	15.4	14.5	0.88	14.9	17.6	-2.71
Beno Udrih	67	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-3	-6	14.4	16.4	-2.04	16.0	16.6	-0.61
Kevin Martin	84	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	15.0	14.0	1.05	16.3	15.1	1.17
Spencer Hawes	79	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	4	-20	14.6	16.9	-2.29	16.3	15.4	0.96

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	-10	32	14.7	18.9	-4.24	16.2	12.7	3.53
Rafer Alston	66	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-2	16	15.8	17.1	-1.38	15.4	13.8	1.62
Metta World Peace	77	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	5	2	15.8	17.9	-2.13	14.8	16.0	-1.25
Yao Ming	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.11	18	-6	24	15.5	18.4	-2.85	15.0	14.7	0.38
Shane Battier	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-6	24	15.0	19.2	-4.25	15.3	14.0	1.33
Von Wafer	22	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	10	-8	18.5	15.5	2.99	14.3	15.2	-0.81
Brent Barry	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	18	-24	18.9	14.4	4.48	13.5	15.8	-2.26
Carl Landry	29	29	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	20	-28	17.6	15.5	2.05	14.6	15.1	-0.59
Aaron Brooks	36	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	19	-26	18.4	14.8	3.66	13.7	15.8	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 108, DET 131	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CLE 76, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NOH 69, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%