NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	69		Excitement	3.9 [1055]		MVP	Brendan Haywood (WAS): +7.0%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	1.8 [881]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -14.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Junior Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	9	61%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Corsley Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	60%	0.03	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	12	47%	-0.03	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Alex Garcia	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	-0.08	7	0%	-0.06	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.14	0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.00	-0.04	9	48%	0.00	7	-0.15	9	78%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	74%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	2	17%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.14	0.01	-0.09	18	39%	0.03	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	8	28%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.19	-0.00	-0.08	11	17%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	0.7	28.4	16.6	30.5	2.3	27.6	130.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.5%

NOH -5.7%

WAS +10.2%

WAS +18.0%

WAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	WAS	NBA	NOH	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	13.4	15.5	67.0	85.4	104.0
season	16.5	14.7		97.7	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.7		105.5	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	12.9	16.2	13.7	15.9	14.6
WAS	12.8	12.6	13.4	14.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Junior Harrington	59	60	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-21	23	14.7	14.4	0.25	14.5	11.9	2.58
Chris Andersen	58	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-21	23	14.2	15.1	-0.96	14.4	12.0	2.38
Corsley Edwards	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-12	5	16.7	14.2	2.48	14.3	13.3	1.05
Dan Dickau	63	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-10	1	14.1	15.4	-1.31	14.1	12.2	1.86
P.J. Brown	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-16	13	13.8	17.8	-4.07	13.6	12.7	0.85
George Lynch	72	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-7	-5	14.0	16.0	-2.00	13.1	14.0	-0.85
Alex Garcia	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-5	-9	15.2	14.2	1.06	12.2	14.1	-1.86
David Wesley	66	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-1	-17	14.8	14.2	0.51	12.5	15.0	-2.51
Matt Freije	61	59	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.37	-36	17	-53	16.1	12.4	3.66	12.2	15.0	-2.89

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	57	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.20	27	-8	35	12.4	14.7	-2.28	14.7	14.4	0.29
Larry Hughes	72	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	-7	33	12.9	14.4	-1.47	14.9	13.7	1.23
Antawn Jamison	66	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.18	25	-6	31	12.4	15.1	-2.64	14.6	14.5	0.15
Brendan Haywood	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	5	9	12.9	14.1	-1.20	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Gilbert Arenas	83	82	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	5	9	13.0	14.8	-1.81	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Anthony Peeler	13	14	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	11	-3	14.5	13.2	1.23	16.5	14.3	2.23
Juan Dixon	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	18	-17	15.2	13.0	2.25	15.4	14.4	1.03
Kwame Brown	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	14	-9	14.1	13.0	1.15	14.9	14.4	0.53
Michael Ruffin	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	18	-17	14.3	13.1	1.18	15.3	14.4	0.90
Samaki Walker	21	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.15	-7	26	-33	15.3	12.9	2.38	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Jarvis Hayes	41	41	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	27	-35	14.9	12.4	2.52	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Laron Profit	18	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.10	-11	30	-41	14.0	13.3	0.74	11.4	15.2	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SEA 74, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 82, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%