NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	101		Excitement	10.0 [55]		MVP	Greg Anthony (SEA): +25.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	11.9 [145]		LVP	Ike Austin (LAC): -58.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	5	100%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.04,-0.12,0.04,0.1	-0.08	0.17	-0.02	12	46%	0.43	4	-0.32	2	100%	0.01
Dale Ellis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	72%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Jim McIlvaine	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	13	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
David Wingate	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Nate McMillan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.39	-0.05	-0.33	0.00	20	55%	-0.04	4	-0.34	9	33%	-0.10

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	14	59%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	12	80%	0.17	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	72%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.06
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	30%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.47,-0.58	-0.58	-0.20	-0.40	-0.01	17	42%	-0.26	7	-0.32	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.5	31.0	15.0	23.1	2.4	33.7	131.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +55.0%

SEA +0.9%

LAC -43.7%

SEA +13.2%

SEA +24.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.6	108.6	109.9	102.5
season	15.3	15.5		109.3	101.0
opponent	15.1	16.2		109.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.2	13.0	17.8	13.2	15.4
LAC	11.8	16.5	19.2	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	67	63	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.52	0	1	-1	15.6	15.1	0.48	15.9	15.8	0.10
Sam Perkins	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	0	1	14.7	16.6	-1.90	15.3	16.8	-1.43
Nate McMillan	45	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	0	1	16.3	14.6	1.64	16.9	14.9	1.97
Dale Ellis	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	-8	17	14.5	16.7	-2.24	15.7	16.2	-0.55
Gary Payton	78	76	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	4	-7	15.3	15.9	-0.61	15.4	18.6	-3.24
Jim McIlvaine	43	43	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-5	11	16.2	14.7	1.51	17.3	14.7	2.59
Vin Baker	75	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.43	-8	9	-17	15.7	14.1	1.69	15.6	17.1	-1.52
Aaron Williams	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	-2	5	13.8	15.6	-1.82	15.3	16.0	-0.66
Greg Anthony	20	21	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	1	-1	16.7	15.1	1.63	17.3	15.5	1.81
David Wingate	15	16	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	5	-9	14.5	15.6	-1.14	14.4	16.2	-1.76

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	56	57	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.15	10	-11	21	14.9	17.5	-2.64	15.9	14.6	1.36
James Robinson	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	4	-9	17.3	15.7	1.65	11.5	16.0	-4.51
Lorenzen Wright	50	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	2	-5	16.7	14.9	1.89	14.9	16.0	-1.02
Lamond Murray	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	0	-1	15.4	17.2	-1.81	15.9	14.3	1.54
Eric Piatkowski	78	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.45	4	-5	9	15.7	17.3	-1.65	16.0	11.5	4.51
Ike Austin	73	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-1	1	15.6	16.9	-1.25	15.2	16.6	-1.38
Darrick Martin	91	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.9	0.0	15.89	15.4	0.0	15.42
Maurice Taylor	28	29	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	8	-17	18.2	14.9	3.36	14.8	15.7	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.64,0.84,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	89.7%
NYK 103, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	88.6%
NOH 93, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.28,0	88.5%