NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	9.0 [132]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +32.0%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	4.1 [132]		LVP	Scott Padgett (UTA): -15.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.32	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32	0.22	0.10	-0.00	17	77%	0.32	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.10
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	10	59%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Baron Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.05	-0.13	0.06	-0.02	13	34%	0.07	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	21	43%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	6	72%	0.04	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.05
P.J. Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	2	50%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.01	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	56%	0.08	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.05
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	10	38%	-0.10	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.02	-0.17	-0.00	13	62%	-0.11	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	2	17%	-0.04	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.7	28.8	17.8	28.1	3.5	37.0	141.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +38.4%

UTA -14.2%

NOH +8.6%

NOH +19.2%

UTA -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	UTA	NBA	NOH	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.0	15.5	106.9	100.0	101.6
season	15.9	16.3		101.6	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.5	17.7	18.5	16.3	16.9
UTA	15.2	17.4	16.7	15.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	61	62	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.38	12	-7	19	16.7	17.3	-0.60	15.5	17.4	-1.97
David Wesley	79	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-4	13	17.1	14.6	2.49	16.1	15.4	0.73
Jamal Mashburn	85	86	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-2	9	16.8	21.5	-4.72	16.0	16.5	-0.48
Baron Davis	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	5	-5	16.8	17.1	-0.30	15.4	18.7	-3.24
Elden Campbell	36	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	6	-7	17.3	16.6	0.67	16.9	15.4	1.43
P.J. Brown	64	64	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	4	-3	16.5	18.0	-1.57	15.8	16.7	-0.98
George Lynch	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	3	-1	19.7	16.6	3.16	19.7	15.7	4.09
Courtney Alexander	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	11	-17	16.9	16.9	0.04	18.2	15.7	2.47
Stacey Augmon	18	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.17	1	4	-3	16.6	17.0	-0.35	16.3	16.0	0.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	29	29	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.01	4	-9	13	15.9	16.1	-0.26	17.4	16.6	0.74
Jarron Collins	12	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-7	9	18.5	15.6	2.86	18.2	16.7	1.58
Greg Ostertag	36	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-6	7	16.6	15.7	0.93	16.5	17.1	-0.61
Scott Padgett	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-5	5	16.1	16.0	0.13	18.7	16.2	2.52
John Amaechi	14	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	15.4	16.1	-0.72	17.7	16.7	0.99
Calbert Cheaney	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	2	-9	16.6	13.6	2.96	16.6	18.1	-1.51
Andrei Kirilenko	48	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-4	3	15.3	16.9	-1.54	17.5	16.2	1.26
Matt Harpring	73	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	15.7	17.7	-1.97	16.5	18.4	-1.83
John Stockton	59	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	4	-13	16.1	15.9	0.26	16.6	17.4	-0.74
Karl Malone	75	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.43	-8	3	-11	15.7	18.0	-2.31	16.3	20.2	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.25,0.42,0	91.8%
SAS 91, LAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.33,0.02,0	90.9%
DEN 108, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.33,0.09,0	90.8%