inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 108 Excitement8.8 [118] MVPAl Harrington (DEN): +29.1%
Washington Wizards 104 Comeback2.9 [604] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -43.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.290.190.100.001676%0.442-0.14667%-0.01
Danilo Gallinari0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.020.011175%0.203-0.156100%0.05
Arron Afflalo0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.050.011148%0.112-0.08540%-0.04
Rudy Fernandez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00560%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.030.04-0.09-0.021755%0.052-0.084100%0.02
Chris Andersen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.030.00541%-0.0300.00743%-0.09
Kosta Koufos-0.050,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Timofey Mozgov-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.030.03580%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.050.00050%0.002-0.10250%-0.02
Andre Miller-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.06-0.0240%-0.1210.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.08-0.00675%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Nick Young0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.110.110.10-0.04-0.052256%0.1100.001100%0.01
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.05,0.090.090.080.020.011456%0.0900.00475%-0.01
Chris Singleton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.000.02875%0.0700.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.02-0.00859%0.0400.001100%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jan Vesely00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.020.001152%0.061-0.06333%-0.03
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.15-0.14-0.01712%-0.103-0.192100%0.01
John Wall0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.33,-0.42,-0.43-0.43-0.17-0.27-0.001732%-0.334-0.10683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.429.915.725.41.833.2131.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +56.4%
DEN +2.2%
DEN +26.2%
WAS -32.9%
WAS -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game14.114.815.6108.0104.0102.8
season14.515.0107.599.5
opponent15.715.8104.6104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.113.014.815.214.1
WAS15.216.314.013.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson79800.74-0.240.990.3314-102414.014.1-0.0614.416.1-1.75
Arron Afflalo72720.64-0.140.770.3111-71813.315.9-2.5614.615.1-0.55
Al Harrington63620.53-0.030.560.4140413.914.4-0.4814.714.8-0.11
Danilo Gallinari73750.500.000.500.4131213.914.3-0.3914.415.7-1.24
Andre Miller54540.210.29-0.080.41-711-1815.312.52.7914.215.4-1.23
Timofey Mozgov45450.090.41-0.320.0031212.815.1-2.3515.114.50.66
Kosta Koufos31320.060.44-0.39-0.0331213.914.1-0.1714.414.9-0.46
Rudy Fernandez2423-0.040.54-0.570.02-26-813.414.3-0.8916.714.22.47
Corey Brewer1312-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-37-1014.813.90.9215.014.70.28
Chris Andersen4645-0.130.63-0.770.04-610-1615.612.82.8115.714.01.71

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelvin Mack19200.26-0.761.02-0.0912-162815.514.60.8914.014.0-0.00
Andray Blatche52560.15-0.650.810.044-81215.513.91.6414.313.70.62
Roger Mason Jr.100.01-0.510.52-0.052-682.014.9-12.880.014.0-14.05
Jan Vesely67-0.05-0.450.390.03-3-1-214.714.8-0.0914.614.00.56
Chris Singleton3536-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-1-214.614.8-0.1913.014.6-1.64
JaVale McGee7775-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-40-415.113.41.7113.615.5-1.91
Nick Young8383-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.515-91414.416.2-1.7914.113.80.27
Trevor Booker2927-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.30-51-613.815.1-1.3514.913.71.20
Rashard Lewis6665-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.39-3-1-214.714.9-0.1614.413.31.13
Jordan Crawford5151-0.530.03-0.57-0.27-95-1414.814.70.1114.114.00.06
John Wall8180-0.760.26-1.02-0.29-1612-2814.615.5-0.8914.014.00.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.33,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 91, LAL 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.52,0.33,0.02,092.1%
CHI 100, SEA 970.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.45,0.24,0.26,091.6%
SAS 104, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.26,090.9%