NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	6.7 [433]		MVP	Greg Minor (BOS): +11.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	96		Comeback	2.4 [75]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -13.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.10	0.02	7	76%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	11	55%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	16	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Travis Knight	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	71%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Tyus Edney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	53%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	15	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.07
Walter McCarty	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	10	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	15	71%	0.14	5	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	7	44%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	15	57%	0.10	7	-0.24	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	39.1	1.6	25.3	14.8	28.0	1.8	39.3	149.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.0%

SEA -3.1%

BOS +12.4%

BOS +15.6%

SEA -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SEA	NBA	BOS	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	15.6	105.0	99.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.3		100.2	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.1		102.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.6	17.8	14.3	12.2	15.3
SEA	12.2	14.9	13.4	14.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	63	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-8	26	16.0	14.2	1.86	15.0	11.6	3.43
Greg Minor	60	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-4	18	14.7	16.2	-1.52	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Antoine Walker	89	87	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.25	12	-2	14	15.3	15.5	-0.21	13.7	14.5	-0.84
Andrew DeClercq	30	27	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	1	8	14.1	15.8	-1.78	14.2	13.6	0.61
Kenny Anderson	52	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-2	14	15.2	15.4	-0.26	13.1	14.4	-1.29
Dana Barros	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	11	-12	15.4	15.2	0.16	14.3	13.3	0.92
Travis Knight	25	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	8	-6	16.8	14.8	2.02	15.2	13.3	1.95
Tyus Edney	6	5	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	9	-8	13.3	15.4	-2.11	15.6	13.6	1.96
Walter McCarty	59	56	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.18	1	9	-8	14.7	16.2	-1.58	13.7	13.8	-0.11
Bruce Bowen	41	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	21	-32	14.3	16.0	-1.72	12.3	14.8	-2.53

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wingate	41	45	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-13	16	12.1	14.9	-2.85	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Aaron Williams	37	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	14.5	13.3	1.25	15.4	15.3	0.12
Jim McIlvaine	25	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-11	12	11.5	14.5	-3.05	16.0	15.1	0.88
Hersey Hawkins	73	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-7	4	12.7	17.0	-4.33	14.7	17.3	-2.65
Vin Baker	81	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-5	0	13.6	14.6	-0.98	15.6	14.0	1.58
Greg Anthony	30	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	1	-12	16.6	12.5	4.14	15.7	15.1	0.59
Gary Payton	88	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-4	-2	13.5	15.7	-2.12	15.6	12.3	3.35
Dale Ellis	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	4	-18	14.6	12.1	2.55	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Sam Perkins	47	49	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.14	-16	6	-22	15.1	12.5	2.56	15.4	15.2	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 115, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0,0.02,0	93.0%
LAC 119, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0	92.8%
SAS 107, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%