NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	7.4 [392]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +27.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	2.4 [208]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -19.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.13	-0.03	18	60%	0.28	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Jerian Grant	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	5	75%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Denzel Valentine	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	9	45%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	15	43%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Paul Zipser	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	17	53%	0.03	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.11	-0.02	11	69%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	14	71%	0.21	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.05	0.01	17	70%	0.16	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.02
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	54%	0.07	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	18	39%	-0.10	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	27.1	14.4	26.8	1.8	33.2	129.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +4.2%

MIL -5.5%

CHI +9.3%

CHI +42.2%

MIL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	14.7	110.6	100.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.3		103.2	108.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.9	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.3	11.7	15.6	13.0	13.9
MIL	12.4	14.0	11.6	16.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	51	52	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.12	26	-17	43	12.7	15.0	-2.35	15.4	11.8	3.65
Nikola Mirotic	58	59	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	13.7	14.0	-0.28	14.6	12.3	2.35
Jerian Grant	30	29	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-2	13	13.6	14.0	-0.42	16.6	12.4	4.11
Denzel Valentine	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	6	-3	14.3	13.3	1.03	13.4	13.8	-0.41
Paul Zipser	24	22	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	1	7	13.5	14.0	-0.53	17.6	12.5	5.14
David Nwaba	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	1	7	13.1	14.6	-1.53	13.8	13.3	0.43
Kris Dunn	74	77	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	11	-13	14.0	13.6	0.42	12.4	16.6	-4.11
Justin Holiday	71	75	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	10	-11	14.2	13.2	1.05	12.4	16.5	-4.12
Lauri Markkanen	46	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	11	-13	14.0	13.7	0.28	12.3	14.6	-2.35
Robin Lopez	53	54	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.12	-17	26	-43	15.0	12.7	2.35	11.8	15.4	-3.65

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	49	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-11	13	12.2	14.7	-2.46	13.9	13.8	0.10
Tony Snell	75	73	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-11	13	12.4	16.4	-3.99	13.8	13.9	-0.05
DeAndre Liggins	36	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-1	-7	13.6	13.5	0.07	14.5	13.5	1.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	84	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-11	13	12.6	17.2	-4.62	14.1	13.1	0.98
Thon Maker	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	0	-9	15.5	12.6	2.89	14.6	13.5	1.03
Matthew Dellavedova	36	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	15.6	12.5	3.05	14.1	13.8	0.33
Eric Bledsoe	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-6	3	13.8	13.2	0.53	13.4	14.6	-1.24
Malcolm Brogdon	64	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	2	-13	14.5	12.2	2.24	13.3	14.7	-1.41
Khris Middleton	87	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	2	-13	13.8	12.4	1.40	13.8	14.3	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0	93.2%
BOS 106, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.37,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.7%