NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	114		Excitement	3.3 [1094]		MVP	Sam Mack (VAN): +10.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	105		Comeback	1.0 [661]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -9.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	18	71%	0.12	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.14	19	52%	0.06	5	-0.04	14	64%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	7	32%	-0.03	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	9	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	-0.00	0.06	18	69%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	12	76%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	0.00	0.09	14	64%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	0.09	17	68%	0.04	5	-0.10	3	100%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	7	25%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	33.2	0.8	27.3	1.7	42.1	133.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +11.4%

BOS +7.4%

BOS +11.9%

BOS +18.5%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	VAN	NBA	BOS	VAN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.6	117.5	108.2	102.5
season	15.1	15.1		100.2	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.1		109.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	14.4	15.9	14.7	15.2
VAN	16.2	16.2	13.5	12.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	84	85	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.03	22	-13	35	15.0	16.3	-1.30	14.8	12.1	2.76
Dana Barros	76	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	6	-3	15.7	13.3	2.42	13.4	18.0	-4.64
Walter McCarty	58	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	6	-3	16.8	12.8	3.91	14.0	15.2	-1.14
Antoine Walker	87	88	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	7	-5	15.1	16.2	-1.13	14.2	17.1	-2.87
Andrew DeClercq	54	52	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	6	-3	15.2	15.2	0.04	14.2	14.9	-0.67
Greg Minor	28	28	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	0	9	12.3	16.4	-4.08	15.2	14.2	1.05
Tyus Edney	21	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	4	1	13.3	15.7	-2.42	18.0	13.4	4.64
Travis Knight	21	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	5	-1	18.1	14.4	3.77	17.4	13.7	3.70
Bruce Bowen	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.27	-6	15	-21	14.3	16.4	-2.04	13.7	15.6	-1.96

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-8	7	14.7	14.3	0.42	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Lee Mayberry	49	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-7	5	13.8	15.2	-1.39	13.8	16.6	-2.78
Bryant Reeves	59	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-5	1	14.8	14.1	0.66	15.8	14.2	1.65
Blue Edwards	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-8	7	14.1	15.0	-0.82	15.3	15.1	0.21
George Lynch	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.3	0.52	16.7	14.3	2.35
Tony Massenburg	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	3	-15	15.7	13.9	1.81	14.1	15.7	-1.58
Antonio Daniels	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	14.6	14.4	0.16	16.4	13.4	3.04
Sam Mack	77	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-7	5	14.4	14.9	-0.56	15.1	15.7	-0.66
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	3	-15	14.3	15.6	-1.27	15.0	16.2	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	96.7%
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
HOU 105, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0,0	96.6%