NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	105		Excitement	3.5 [1128]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +18.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.0 [1050]		LVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): -5.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.02	0.02	6	113%	0.19	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
James Harden	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.02	14	78%	0.23	5	-0.05	13	85%	-0.00
Clint Capela	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.06	14	74%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.08	10	45%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	11	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	17	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	65%	0.06	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	27.9	13.8	24.5	2.4	29.6	124.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.6%

HOU +10.9%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +5.0%

HOU +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	14.3	115.4	105.4	109.3
season	14.8	15.4		114.0	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.4		107.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.4	15.0	17.5	19.1	16.0
MEM	18.1	17.0	13.8	12.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	5	-2	16.4	14.4	1.92	15.5	15.3	0.15
Danuel House Jr.	36	36	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-6	20	16.0	16.0	-0.04	15.2	15.6	-0.38
Gerald Green	41	40	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-2	12	16.1	15.9	0.23	16.4	14.7	1.62
PJ Tucker	73	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	8	-8	16.5	14.3	2.17	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Clint Capela	64	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	2	4	15.5	17.1	-1.60	16.4	12.8	3.55
Eric Gordon	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	7	-6	15.7	16.6	-0.88	15.0	16.3	-1.30
Chris Paul	69	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	8	-8	15.8	16.8	-0.99	15.1	16.6	-1.44
Nene	27	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	6	-4	17.1	15.5	1.60	12.8	16.4	-3.55
Brandon Knight	8	7	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	4	0	12.6	16.3	-3.72	18.6	15.2	3.37

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-2	-4	19.0	14.8	4.23	12.6	16.6	-3.99
Wayne Selden	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-2	-4	17.9	14.9	3.00	12.9	16.7	-3.82
Garrett Temple	55	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-12	16	15.1	16.1	-1.00	15.7	16.4	-0.63
Omri Casspi	14	15	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-4	0	17.8	15.0	2.75	16.3	16.0	0.29
MarShon Brooks	24	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.5	-0.17	16.4	15.9	0.50
Shelvin Mack	53	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.63	16.0	16.1	-0.05
JaMychal Green	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-4	0	16.0	14.9	1.13	15.9	16.1	-0.18
Mike Conley	73	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-7	6	16.3	12.4	3.89	15.2	18.3	-3.05
Marc Gasol	63	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-8	8	15.4	15.5	-0.09	15.9	16.3	-0.46
Jevon Carter	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	13.2	17.3	-4.04	18.5	13.9	4.65
Jaren Jackson Jr.	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-2	-4	14.2	17.9	-3.71	17.0	14.1	2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 117, BKN 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
BOS 114, VAN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	96.6%
MIA 103, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%