NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	4.3 [925]		MVP	Nick Anderson (ORL): +11.4%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	2.2 [517]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -24.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	70%	0.05	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	63%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
DeJuan Wheat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Micheal Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	5	38%	-0.00	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Porter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.10	14	64%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	16	49%	0.01	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.21	-0.06	-0.02	15	13%	-0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	21	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.04	17	65%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Mark Price	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	75%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	6	50%	0.04	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.00	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.03
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	26.4	15.6	38.1	1.8	32.3	143.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.7%

ORL +15.3%

MIN -11.7%

ORL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ORL	NBA	MIN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.6	102.0	115.0	102.5
season	14.8	16.7		105.3	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.4	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	16.0	15.2	10.5	14.1
ORL	13.3	13.4	16.1	15.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Wheat	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	5.3	14.4	-9.07	21.0	14.5	6.46
Micheal Williams	23	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-22	31	9.3	15.6	-6.27	13.6	15.0	-1.38
Reggie Jordan	42	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-18	23	11.9	15.8	-3.88	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Sam Mitchell	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	14.6	13.4	1.19	15.0	14.2	0.76
Stanley Roberts	40	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	16.5	12.5	3.99	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Kevin Garnett	86	87	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-10	7	14.4	12.6	1.81	14.3	17.4	-3.12
Stephon Marbury	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	0	-13	15.8	11.4	4.37	15.2	13.7	1.49
Tom Hammonds	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	13.7	15.2	-1.52	14.9	14.0	0.91
Cherokee Parks	55	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	3	-19	15.4	12.6	2.82	14.8	14.6	0.19
Terry Porter	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	9	-31	13.1	15.4	-2.24	14.5	14.9	-0.39

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-2	17	14.4	15.3	-0.90	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Bo Outlaw	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-1	15	15.4	10.5	4.87	14.6	11.3	3.29
Horace Grant	90	91	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	1	11	14.8	13.9	0.86	13.9	16.1	-2.18
Derek Harper	54	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	4	5	14.6	14.8	-0.25	15.7	12.5	3.17
Nick Anderson	83	84	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	13	-13	15.0	12.9	2.08	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Mark Price	33	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	3	7	12.3	15.8	-3.49	15.7	13.4	2.34
Gerald Wilkins	32	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	12	-11	15.7	14.2	1.54	10.6	15.9	-5.32
Dan Schayes	44	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	10	-7	14.8	14.6	0.26	15.5	13.0	2.55
Brian Evans	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	12	-11	11.7	15.1	-3.41	10.8	14.6	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 72, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	95.6%
NYK 95, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 87, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%