NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	4.0 [998]		MVP	John Salmons (MIL): +11.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.6 [1145]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -16.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	13	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	27%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.08	6	-0.14	4	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	15	67%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	10	58%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	0.01	-0.06	12	20%	-0.09	6	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	24.2	15.7	31.0	0.8	29.0	126.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +18.3%

MIL +5.6%

WAS -1.2%

MIL +22.1%

MIL +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.3	94.6	108.7	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		102.6	103.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		101.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.2	15.0	15.3	15.2	15.9
MIL	16.1	15.6	16.0	14.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Harris	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	11.3	16.4	-5.03	15.6	15.4	0.19
Fabricio Oberto	13	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-14	15	16.7	15.7	0.96	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Shaun Livingston	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-13	13	14.5	16.6	-2.15	13.0	16.8	-3.75
JaVale McGee	48	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-15	17	16.9	14.7	2.23	16.5	14.3	2.21
Mike Miller	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	16.5	15.2	1.27	16.9	14.0	2.90
Randy Foye	51	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-6	-1	17.5	13.9	3.64	16.6	13.8	2.85
Quinton Ross	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-5	-3	16.5	15.5	1.00	14.4	16.1	-1.67
Al Thornton	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	17.0	15.0	2.09	17.5	13.9	3.61
Nick Young	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-9	5	13.7	17.0	-3.26	14.1	16.1	-2.07
Earl Boykins	31	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-2	-9	15.0	16.3	-1.36	13.5	16.3	-2.83
Andray Blatche	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	2	-17	16.3	14.3	1.99	15.5	15.3	0.19
James Singleton	52	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	1	-15	14.1	18.2	-4.17	14.6	16.5	-1.92

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.05	17	-4	21	15.6	15.2	0.36	16.8	14.1	2.63
Ersan Ilyasova	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	0	13	14.3	18.4	-4.13	15.1	17.9	-2.82
Andrew Bogut	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-1	15	16.3	14.0	2.32	17.0	14.2	2.80
Brandon Jennings	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	0	13	16.8	13.5	3.30	16.8	14.5	2.27
Carlos Delfino	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	12	-11	16.8	11.0	5.77	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Jerry Stackhouse	53	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	5	3	13.5	18.1	-4.63	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Luc Mbah a Moute	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	13	-13	16.2	14.8	1.38	16.8	15.2	1.56
Luke Ridnour	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.03	4	9	-5	13.1	16.8	-3.68	14.6	16.6	-1.94
Kurt Thomas	18	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	12	-11	14.8	15.6	-0.82	13.4	16.5	-3.09
Primoz Brezec	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	17.3	15.4	1.96	17.5	15.8	1.67
Royal Ivey	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	17.3	15.4	1.96	13.0	16.0	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHA 101, NYK 124	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
NJN 107, ATL 130	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%