NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	7.5 [294]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +21.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.6 [247]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -33.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.25	-0.01	0.02	12	112%	0.35	3	-0.13	1	0%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.07	-0.04	0.03	10	73%	0.03	1	-0.03	13	77%	-0.05
Shawnelle Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	16	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Carl Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	7	0%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.34	-0.08	-0.26	0.00	8	54%	-0.22	3	-0.12	12	92%	-0.14

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	10	55%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	60%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	13	47%	-0.01	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	19	54%	0.04	5	-0.16	12	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	30.4	15.5	30.3	2.3	34.6	140.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -11.2%

PHI +13.5%

PHI +28.0%

PHI +10.3%

PHI +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	16.4	15.6	106.6	103.2	102.5
season	15.4	15.4		99.4	99.7
opponent	15.5	16.0		102.1	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	15.2	14.0	14.5	14.6
PHI	16.0	16.1	15.3	18.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	57	62	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.23	9	-10	19	13.8	15.8	-2.00	17.3	14.5	2.82
Carl Thomas	32	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-11	21	12.2	15.9	-3.73	17.3	15.8	1.51
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.46	11	-12	23	13.6	17.0	-3.40	18.0	12.5	5.42
Brevin Knight	73	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-12	23	14.0	16.8	-2.82	16.2	16.9	-0.75
Shawnelle Scott	10	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	7	-15	23.2	13.5	9.69	12.5	16.7	-4.21
Bob Sura	34	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	11	-23	16.6	13.4	3.27	14.6	17.4	-2.81
Wesley Person	87	92	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.54	4	-5	9	14.3	20.2	-5.94	16.6	10.0	6.57
Cedric Henderson	49	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.00	-18	17	-35	15.8	13.2	2.56	15.9	16.8	-0.92
Vitaly Potapenko	47	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.29	-12	11	-23	15.2	13.9	1.37	14.5	18.4	-3.92

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	49	44	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-6	13	15.5	17.3	-1.83	15.4	13.8	1.67
Derrick Coleman	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	2	-3	16.3	16.5	-0.16	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Allen Iverson	84	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	5	-9	16.8	13.2	3.59	14.5	15.3	-0.85
Aaron McKie	63	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.49	-6	7	-13	16.6	15.9	0.63	13.9	16.0	-2.05
Terry Cummings	26	23	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-7	15	15.7	16.6	-0.86	16.3	14.0	2.26
Tim Thomas	60	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-5	11	16.3	16.4	-0.02	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Theo Ratliff	50	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	1	-1	16.5	16.2	0.38	15.4	13.4	1.93
Scott Williams	40	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	6	-11	17.4	15.6	1.80	13.2	15.4	-2.18
Mark Davis	31	29	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	1	-1	15.2	16.9	-1.73	15.4	14.2	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 76, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
NYK 87, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.4%
TOR 94, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%