NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	5.9 [660]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +24.7%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	1.6 [762]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -14.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	21	55%	0.12	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.04
Nate Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	57%	0.06	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Mardy Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	7	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	15	44%	-0.05	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.07	0.04	22	69%	0.35	4	-0.10	17	65%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	13	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	5	57%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.7	1.7	32.3	14.6	25.1	1.6	33.3	138.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +62.4%

NYK -21.1%

NYK -2.2%

CHA +11.3%

NYK -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.4	92.6	109.5	104.5
season	15.7	15.7		103.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	15.6	15.9	16.6	15.6
CHA	15.7	12.7	18.4	13.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	2	2	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-17	17	14.0	15.6	-1.62	11.0	15.0	-3.98
Renaldo Balkman	12	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-14	11	13.6	15.9	-2.29	12.1	15.4	-3.31
Mardy Collins	4	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-12	7	14.7	15.6	-0.87	8.8	15.2	-6.43
Channing Frye	80	81	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-13	9	14.9	19.2	-4.26	14.8	15.6	-0.79
Jared Jeffries	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-13	9	17.4	14.8	2.59	15.7	14.5	1.16
David Lee	70	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-10	3	15.6	15.5	0.17	15.3	14.0	1.27
Stephon Marbury	65	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-13	9	16.7	13.1	3.64	15.9	12.8	3.10
Nate Robinson	44	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	1	-19	15.2	15.9	-0.63	14.4	15.4	-1.02
Jamal Crawford	83	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.04	-20	3	-23	15.6	15.6	-0.06	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Eddy Curry	81	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.01	-20	3	-23	15.2	18.0	-2.80	14.9	15.1	-0.22

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	67	68	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.10	25	-8	33	14.2	16.5	-2.33	16.3	13.8	2.51
Emeka Okafor	59	56	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.03	20	-3	23	16.1	12.9	3.23	16.1	14.8	1.34
Raymond Felton	71	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	2	13	15.4	13.5	1.92	16.1	14.3	1.71
Gerald Wallace	91	89	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	7	3	15.0	11.5	3.54	15.3	21.2	-5.93
Matt Carroll	62	60	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	13	-9	15.3	14.1	1.19	15.8	15.3	0.50
Jake Voskuhl	57	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	2	13	12.9	17.8	-4.87	15.1	16.4	-1.35
Jeff McInnis	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	15	-13	14.1	15.3	-1.19	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Adam Morrison	39	41	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	23	-29	15.8	14.3	1.53	14.2	16.6	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 76, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%
LAC 82, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MEM 100, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,1	93.8%