NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	6.1 [554]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +69.9%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	1.1 [996]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -7.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.51	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.51	0.05	0.41	-0.05	16	62%	0.53	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.14	0.03	0.13	0.02	21	53%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.13
Drew Barry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.04	14	67%	0.00	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Anthony Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	12	59%	-0.00	4	-0.05	10	80%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.03	9	52%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.7	0.70	0.11	0.63	0.04	22	66%	0.74	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.04
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	58%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.04
Luc Longley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	71%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.02	20	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	32.7	15.8	25.3	2.5	44.4	144.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.1%

ATL -5.8%

CHI +26.0%

ATL -6.3%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.6	117.0	120.4	102.5
season	16.1	16.2		105.3	105.8
opponent	15.8	16.0		97.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	17.5	13.4	13.3	14.9
CHI	13.0	15.3	16.6	18.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Barry	21	20	0.14	-0.65	0.79	-0.27	14	-16	30	16.8	14.4	2.34	16.8	15.6	1.26
Anthony Miller	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	20.5	14.2	6.34	17.6	15.6	2.01
Greg Anderson	12	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	4	-10	13.7	15.1	-1.37	11.8	16.5	-4.67
Tyrone Corbin	55	55	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-1	0	14.3	15.8	-1.49	14.7	17.5	-2.77
Chucky Brown	48	46	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	-0.41	4	-6	10	14.9	15.0	-0.15	16.9	14.8	2.08
Dikembe Mutombo	76	75	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.48	3	-5	8	15.0	14.7	0.28	16.3	14.1	2.24
Alan Henderson	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	4	-10	15.0	14.5	0.51	16.1	14.3	1.75
Steven Smith	92	91	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.43	-3	1	-4	14.7	24.5	-9.76	15.8	18.0	-2.19
Mookie Blaylock	73	73	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.18	-16	14	-30	14.4	16.8	-2.34	15.6	16.8	-1.26

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	71	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-10	22	15.2	17.9	-2.68	15.1	14.5	0.64
Toni Kukoc	38	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.77	-10	12	-22	18.1	14.3	3.71	14.9	15.0	-0.04
Luc Longley	50	52	0.42	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	-4	10	16.6	15.0	1.64	15.4	14.4	1.07
Scottie Pippen	76	77	0.40	0.11	0.29	0.37	1	1	0	16.0	15.4	0.62	15.2	13.6	1.59
Ron Harper	55	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	-9	20	15.8	16.0	-0.19	14.5	15.5	-0.96
Jason Caffey	19	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	1	0	19.5	14.9	4.54	17.8	14.3	3.57
Dennis Rodman	69	69	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	2	-2	14.8	18.8	-4.01	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Bill Wennington	43	42	0.09	0.42	-0.32	0.21	-4	6	-10	15.0	16.6	-1.64	14.4	15.4	-1.07
Randy Brown	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.37	-10	12	-22	14.8	16.7	-1.84	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Jud Buechler	3	4	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	-1	4	16.7	15.8	0.83	3.2	15.5	-12.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	95.4%
DEN 103, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	95.3%
MIL 94, NOH 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,0.95,1	94.8%