NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	85		Excitement	13.8 [4]		MVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): +27.3%
Indiana Pacers	82		Comeback	30.8 [17]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -51.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27	-0.04	0.32	0.01	9	44%	0.38	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.12	0.01	12	67%	0.06	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	0.03	-0.02	13	26%	-0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.4,-0.4	-0.14	-0.26	0.00	12	31%	-0.19	3	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.52	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,0.08,-0.3,-0.36,-0.29,-0.2,-0.31,-0.46,-0.58,-0.65,-0.73,-0.82,-0.52	-0.18	-0.35	-0.01	36	42%	-0.36	6	-0.16	5	60%	-0.12

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.11	-0.00	7	71%	0.21	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.15	-0.00	8	28%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	9	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	8	55%	-0.01	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.08
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.37	-0.37	-0.09	-0.28	0.00	6	53%	-0.03	4	-0.33	5	60%	-0.05
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.45,-0.45	-0.45	-0.19	-0.28	-0.02	17	32%	-0.28	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.45	-0.45	-0.11	-0.34	-0.00	13	38%	-0.34	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	21.2	15.6	23.0	1.8	40.5	1.7	11.3	1.7	18.9	157.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.5%

IND -11.9%

IND -36.3%

DAL +33.4%

DAL +14.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.6	77.3	77.4	102.5
season	15.8	16.0		98.3	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.5		99.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.4	16.5	14.0	16.6	17.6	16.1
IND	15.7	16.2	18.7	16.1	17.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	69	65	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.37	21	-18	39	15.2	16.7	-1.49	16.3	16.6	-0.25
Shawn Bradley	71	66	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.77	-1	4	-5	14.5	18.1	-3.61	17.6	14.6	2.99
Hubert Davis	83	79	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.56	1	2	-1	15.3	17.4	-2.13	16.5	16.3	0.23
Michael Finley	107	104	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.43	3	0	3	16.1	6.0	10.07	16.4	16.5	-0.07
A.C. Green	87	86	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.47	-4	7	-11	16.0	15.2	0.74	16.2	17.3	-1.07
Eric Riley	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	16.7	15.7	0.98	16.1	16.5	-0.31
Martin Muursepp	15	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	1	1	16.5	15.7	0.85	16.4	16.4	-0.06
Khalid Reeves	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	3	-3	16.8	15.6	1.18	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Dennis Scott	56	58	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	16.4	15.2	1.13	15.6	17.5	-1.91
Chris Anstey	39	37	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.47	0	3	-3	17.5	14.9	2.57	16.5	16.4	0.16

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	42	45	0.47	-0.97	1.45	0.36	4	-7	11	16.2	16.6	-0.36	17.0	15.0	2.03
Fred Hoiberg	27	28	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.21	4	-7	11	17.3	16.2	1.11	17.1	15.4	1.71
Travis Best	39	39	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.14	2	-5	7	15.9	16.7	-0.85	17.2	15.1	2.10
Antonio Davis	61	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	15.0	18.4	-3.34	16.2	15.2	1.03
Chris Mullin	51	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-2	1	17.6	15.3	2.34	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Rik Smits	57	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-4	5	17.4	15.3	2.17	14.8	17.1	-2.39
Dale Davis	41	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	17.1	16.0	1.12	14.6	16.5	-1.88
Derrick McKey	56	57	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	3	-9	16.0	16.9	-0.84	17.1	14.4	2.67
Mark Jackson	67	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.55	-5	2	-7	16.7	15.9	0.85	15.1	17.2	-2.10
Reggie Miller	79	82	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.62	-7	4	-11	16.2	17.3	-1.11	15.4	17.1	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.45,0.23,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.45,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, GSW 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.09,0	85.5%
SAS 125, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.05,0	85.4%
DET 114, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.27,0	85.4%