NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	125		Excitement	11.9 [25]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +22.0%
Washington Wizards	118		Comeback	22.3 [69]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -27.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.15	0.09	0.02	14	70%	0.30	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Tim Duncan	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	-0.00	20	66%	0.29	3	-0.11	7	71%	0.00
Danny Green	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	16	61%	0.23	4	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Nando De Colo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	10%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.10	-0.01	5	83%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	8	46%	-0.08	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.08
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	14	35%	-0.11	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.29,0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.19,-0.27,-0.28	-0.28	-0.05	-0.21	0.01	29	47%	-0.17	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.9	2.7	28.2	15.4	27.3	2.4	30.5	2.4	24.4	1.8	18.0	176.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +65.6%

SAS +7.7%

WAS -34.7%

SAS +7.1%

SAS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	WAS	NBA	SAS	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.0	15.1	105.0	100.0	105.2
season	15.0	15.1		109.8	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		102.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	16.1	16.0	15.3	15.6	13.9	15.4
WAS	13.3	13.3	15.3	14.5	13.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tiago Splitter	71	70	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.72	10	-3	13	15.3	15.6	-0.29	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Patty Mills	43	44	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-4	15	14.6	15.8	-1.26	13.8	14.1	-0.25
Danny Green	93	93	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-6	19	15.6	14.5	1.13	14.3	12.9	1.34
Marco Belinelli	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	2	3	14.9	16.2	-1.30	14.1	13.8	0.30
Tim Duncan	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-6	19	15.1	16.0	-0.84	14.3	13.3	0.98
Boris Diaw	41	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	6	-5	16.1	15.0	1.16	14.4	13.8	0.64
Nando De Colo	35	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	-2	11	15.7	15.2	0.46	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Cory Joseph	59	56	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.15	4	3	1	14.9	15.9	-1.00	14.3	13.7	0.63
Shannon Brown	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	14	-21	15.3	15.4	-0.09	12.7	14.1	-1.44
Jeff Ayres	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	14	-21	15.3	15.4	-0.09	12.7	14.1	-1.44
Tony Parker	37	38	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.06	-13	20	-33	16.6	14.9	1.71	13.2	14.3	-1.13
Matt Bonner	28	29	-0.58	1.08	-1.66	-0.46	-4	11	-15	16.1	15.2	0.99	14.7	13.7	0.95

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	28	27	0.73	-1.23	1.96	0.38	12	-19	31	13.5	14.1	-0.62	15.8	15.3	0.51
Trevor Booker	52	51	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.10	10	-17	27	14.1	13.8	0.29	15.6	15.2	0.42
Kevin Seraphin	27	26	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.03	7	-14	21	14.2	13.9	0.27	16.7	15.0	1.67
Martell Webster	75	76	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-16	25	13.7	14.4	-0.63	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Bradley Beal	69	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-4	1	14.3	13.5	0.83	16.2	14.3	1.91
Nene	77	79	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	7	-21	13.8	14.3	-0.52	15.2	15.7	-0.47
John Wall	91	93	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.28	-17	10	-27	14.0	13.9	0.16	15.1	16.3	-1.23
Trevor Ariza	92	94	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.37	-20	13	-33	13.9	14.2	-0.33	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Marcin Gortat	79	81	-1.39	0.89	-2.28	-0.83	-19	12	-31	14.1	13.7	0.38	15.1	15.9	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 125, BOS 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.09,0.04,0	87.6%
HOU 109, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.77,0.53,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.42,0	87.2%
DAL 124, NYK 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.73,0.54,0.25,0.1,0.01,0,0	86.2%