NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	125		Excitement	13.5 [5]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (WAS): +39.4%
Boston Celtics	124		Comeback	39.2 [42]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -31.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.02	0.38	-0.00	7	50%	0.39	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Otto Porter Jr.	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.03	0.20	0.00	12	60%	0.37	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.09
Ian Mahinmi	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	9	70%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tomas Satoransky	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Bradley Beal	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	27	57%	0.14	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.05
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	90%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.08	-0.02	15	53%	0.04	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.02	6	57%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	-0.00	22	61%	0.39	2	-0.10	7	71%	-0.05
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	8	61%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	9	89%	0.18	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	21	47%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.22	0.00	23	39%	-0.12	2	-0.19	3	33%	-0.27

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	27.6	15.3	25.6	2.8	44.0	2.4	18.5	2.3	11.2	178.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +7.1%

WAS +16.5%

WAS +18.2%

BOS -10.7%

WAS +18.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.7	14.7	108.7	107.8	107.5
season	14.8	15.1		108.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		103.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.5	14.1	13.5	15.9	11.5	14.1
BOS	14.3	15.9	16.0	16.1	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	93	94	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.57	12	-11	23	14.8	13.9	0.90	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Markieff Morris	86	86	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.61	8	-7	15	15.0	13.5	1.48	15.2	17.0	-1.73
Otto Porter Jr.	83	84	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.53	10	-9	19	15.0	13.5	1.51	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Marcin Gortat	49	48	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.72	-2	3	-5	15.0	14.3	0.71	16.3	15.2	1.03
Tomas Satoransky	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	-4	9	14.7	14.4	0.35	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Jodie Meeks	24	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	7	-13	13.7	14.8	-1.06	16.0	15.6	0.38
Ian Mahinmi	50	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.12	2	-1	3	14.3	14.8	-0.44	16.4	15.1	1.33
Ramon Sessions	36	35	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.18	-6	7	-13	13.6	15.1	-1.47	15.9	15.6	0.27
Kelly Oubre Jr.	52	51	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.17	-7	8	-15	14.0	15.1	-1.08	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Mike Scott	34	33	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.10	-11	12	-23	14.2	14.8	-0.55	16.0	15.5	0.46

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	49	52	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.03	17	-18	35	15.7	15.6	0.11	14.6	14.6	0.04
Shane Larkin	50	51	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.02	7	-8	15	15.4	15.9	-0.51	13.2	15.7	-2.47
Guerschon Yabusele	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-3	5	15.8	15.6	0.22	15.6	14.1	1.45
Jayson Tatum	89	89	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.56	14	-15	29	15.8	15.1	0.72	15.0	13.2	1.76
Abdel Nader	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-2	3	15.6	15.7	-0.15	14.2	14.9	-0.62
Semi Ojeleye	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	8	-17	14.6	16.8	-2.26	13.5	15.8	-2.29
Terry Rozier	95	92	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.42	-8	7	-15	15.8	14.9	0.87	15.2	12.3	2.86
Aron Baynes	64	61	-0.79	0.29	-1.09	-0.32	-16	15	-31	16.3	14.8	1.48	15.0	14.2	0.80
Marcus Morris	88	88	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.53	-13	12	-25	15.7	15.5	0.20	14.7	14.4	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 125, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.05,0	87.6%
NYK 121, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.46,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.31,0.66,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.28,0	86.9%
LAC 99, VAN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.15,0.23,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.09,0,0	86.0%