NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	121		Excitement	13.1 [9]		MVP	Greg Monroe (DET): +38.0%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	97.0 [10]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (DET): -39.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Larkin	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.29	0.12	0.21	0.03	9	70%	0.29	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.03	0.21	0.00	16	52%	0.26	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Andrea Bargnani	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.11	0.01	20	56%	0.22	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Alexey Shved	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	12	42%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	9	52%	0.22	2	-0.15	5	100%	0.07
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.07	-0.05	0.02	14	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	47%	0.03	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.04
Cleanthony Early	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	4	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.06	-0.23	0.01	10	43%	-0.16	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.15	0.23	0.00	13	68%	0.40	1	-0.02	15	67%	-0.30
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	18	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	8	73%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.01	11	72%	0.22	3	-0.17	7	43%	-0.08
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	7	43%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.25,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.20	-0.21	-0.02	24	30%	-0.19	4	-0.20	5	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	27.4	16.6	30.1	1.8	36.2	2.4	17.5	2.5	26.0	185.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +2.4%

NYK +27.2%

NYK +20.9%

NYK +4.6%

DET -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.1	111.0	104.5	104.2
season	16.1	15.7		98.5	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.0		105.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	16.2	19.7	15.7	13.9	15.5	16.2
DET	15.8	14.6	17.7	16.1	13.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexey Shved	36	35	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.43	16	-10	26	15.1	16.7	-1.52	17.1	15.0	2.10
Lou Amundson	64	66	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.12	17	-11	28	16.7	15.3	1.44	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Shane Larkin	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-2	10	16.3	15.9	0.37	16.0	15.1	0.92
Andrea Bargnani	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	-1	8	16.2	16.1	0.01	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Quincy Acy	18	17	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	1	4	14.1	16.6	-2.52	18.4	15.1	3.29
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	65	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	10	-14	15.8	16.6	-0.75	13.9	18.2	-4.28
Langston Galloway	61	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	17.2	14.9	2.29	16.1	15.0	1.04
Cleanthony Early	35	37	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	-1	8	16.0	16.2	-0.23	17.0	14.9	2.03
Jason Smith	55	54	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	12	-18	15.7	16.6	-0.90	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Travis Wear	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	5	-4	20.6	15.7	4.98	15.3	15.7	-0.36
Cole Aldrich	19	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.15	-11	17	-28	18.1	15.8	2.30	13.6	16.0	-2.34
Lance Thomas	47	47	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	17	-28	14.7	17.3	-2.63	15.0	16.1	-1.13

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	41	40	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.17	13	-19	32	15.6	15.6	0.01	15.7	16.4	-0.64
John Lucas III	31	31	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-10	14	16.3	15.4	0.92	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Shawne Williams	10	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-5	4	15.3	15.7	-0.36	20.6	15.7	4.98
Anthony Tolliver	48	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-8	10	14.9	16.2	-1.22	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Tayshaun Prince	34	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	7	-20	17.4	14.8	2.58	17.3	15.6	1.71
Jodie Meeks	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-10	14	14.1	17.1	-3.00	16.0	16.3	-0.35
Greg Monroe	86	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	1	-8	15.5	16.2	-0.74	15.9	16.9	-0.96
Andre Drummond	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	0	-6	16.3	14.1	2.14	16.7	14.9	1.85
Reggie Jackson	79	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	4	-14	15.4	16.3	-0.92	16.3	15.9	0.40
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	81	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.16	-16	10	-26	15.7	15.3	0.38	15.8	17.2	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.46,0.6,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.31,0.66,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.23,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 125, BOS 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.09,0.04,0	86.9%
PHX 90, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.71,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.71,0.82,0.98,1,1,1,1	86.6%
CHH 90, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.96,1	86.5%