NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	12.4 [18]		MVP	Darius Songaila (CHI): +45.4%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	19.2 [57]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -48.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.40	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.4	0.00	0.40	0.00	29	53%	0.72	5	-0.32	8	87%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	5	86%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.11	0.01	29	52%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.10	0.01	13	55%	0.18	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	6	54%	0.00	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	9	28%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.45	0.45	0.02	0.41	-0.02	12	57%	0.50	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.27	0.01	17	56%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	9	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	23	39%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.49	-0.49	-0.10	-0.38	0.01	17	39%	-0.43	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.0	1.5	30.6	16.4	24.5	2.6	31.0	1.6	14.1	2.5	12.7	160.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +89.0%

CHI -10.7%

HOU +20.1%

CHI -44.5%

CHI -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.6	105.8	101.9	104.4
season	16.1	14.4		99.9	102.6
opponent	16.1	16.1		102.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.9	14.5	17.1	18.1	19.6	16.6
CHI	14.1	17.4	18.0	16.1	15.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	87	91	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.50	13	-12	25	17.1	16.5	0.56	17.0	12.6	4.36
Juwan Howard	88	91	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.52	4	-3	7	17.2	15.9	1.29	16.6	14.6	2.03
Rafer Alston	93	97	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.51	3	-2	5	17.0	16.3	0.74	16.6	13.6	3.04
Tracy McGrady	70	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-4	9	17.4	16.1	1.34	16.7	15.6	1.15
Charles Hayes	59	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-9	19	17.4	16.4	1.02	16.4	16.2	0.24
Ryan Bowen	7	7	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	9	-17	13.4	17.2	-3.80	8.4	16.9	-8.47
John Lucas III	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	3	-5	15.7	17.1	-1.35	13.2	16.5	-3.36
Luther Head	46	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	7	-13	16.4	17.5	-1.09	14.7	17.7	-2.94
Lonny Baxter	11	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	8	-15	15.8	17.1	-1.29	14.7	16.5	-1.79
Dikembe Mutombo	47	48	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.20	-7	8	-15	16.7	17.2	-0.49	17.0	15.8	1.17

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	12	10	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.03	7	-8	15	15.7	16.4	-0.66	16.2	17.1	-0.85
Chris Duhon	70	66	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.10	9	-10	19	15.4	18.1	-2.68	17.6	15.9	1.64
Malik Allen	27	25	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	1	-3	17.0	16.1	0.94	17.2	16.9	0.25
Michael Sweetney	32	34	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-1	1	15.6	16.7	-1.11	15.3	17.8	-2.46
Stephen Graham	16	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	17.4	16.1	1.29	16.4	17.1	-0.71
Othella Harrington	17	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	16.7	16.3	0.44	15.4	17.3	-1.92
Ben Gordon	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	2	-5	17.1	14.8	2.32	17.7	15.5	2.14
Luol Deng	85	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	2	-5	16.9	14.0	2.92	17.0	16.8	0.20
Kirk Hinrich	78	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.42	-4	3	-7	16.2	16.6	-0.36	16.2	19.3	-3.10
Darius Songaila	58	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.54	-1	0	-1	16.5	16.1	0.35	17.4	16.5	0.89
Andres Nocioni	65	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.69	-2	1	-3	15.5	17.6	-2.11	17.7	15.9	1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.77,0.53,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 125, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.05,0	87.2%
CLE 103, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.77,0.85,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	86.4%
LAL 105, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.23,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.28,0	86.2%