NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	3.5 [1060]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +8.2%
Orlando Magic	83		Comeback	1.8 [574]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -14.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	63%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
John Starks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Brooks Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	1	78%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.06	16	62%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	9	89%	-0.00
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.11	0.00	0.10	10	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.06	15	41%	-0.01	6	-0.11	4	50%	-0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	10	26%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.7	27.4	16.5	29.4	2.4	32.6	136.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +58.5%

ORL -2.5%

ORL -2.0%

ORL -4.3%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	18.9	15.6	117.9	98.8	102.5
season	15.7	16.7		100.4	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.3		101.4	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	14.6	13.5	18.9	15.4
ORL	18.0	21.4	19.8	16.2	18.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	64	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-2	20	14.4	18.5	-4.13	18.5	20.1	-1.67
Larry Johnson	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	1	14	15.7	14.6	1.11	20.6	13.9	6.70
Charles Oakley	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	4	8	15.6	14.1	1.54	19.4	15.5	3.84
Charlie Ward	32	32	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.13	17	-1	18	14.3	16.1	-1.81	21.0	17.6	3.42
Chris Dudley	29	29	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	0	16	14.9	15.7	-0.78	21.1	17.7	3.34
John Starks	44	43	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	16	-16	16.8	13.9	2.92	18.6	19.2	-0.57
Chris Childs	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	17	-18	16.1	14.3	1.81	17.6	21.0	-3.42
Chris Mills	41	42	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	18	-20	16.7	14.1	2.59	17.5	20.3	-2.86
Buck Williams	13	12	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	13	-10	13.8	15.7	-1.93	17.6	19.1	-1.51
Brooks Thompson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	10.4	15.7	-5.32	9.6	19.5	-9.87
Anthony Bowie	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	10.4	15.7	-5.32	9.6	19.5	-9.87

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Taylor	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.6	19.5	-9.87	10.4	15.7	-5.32
Brian Evans	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-16	16	13.0	19.5	-6.50	12.2	15.7	-3.49
Dan Schayes	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-16	16	16.9	20.0	-3.03	17.3	14.3	2.94
Mark Price	17	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-10	4	19.4	18.7	0.67	16.1	15.2	0.89
Derek Harper	44	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-16	16	19.7	18.0	1.63	16.8	13.7	3.14
Derek Strong	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-15	14	18.4	19.5	-1.03	16.3	14.2	2.12
Bo Outlaw	66	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-7	-2	18.8	19.0	-0.15	16.2	12.8	3.31
Horace Grant	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-2	-12	19.6	17.8	1.88	13.9	17.5	-3.52
Anfernee Hardaway	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-2	-12	19.3	18.4	0.97	13.6	17.4	-3.79
Rony Seikaly	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-1	-14	20.3	17.7	2.62	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Nick Anderson	68	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	4	-24	19.2	17.7	1.47	15.5	15.1	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ORL 108, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%
POR 104, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.7%