NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	3.6 [1062]		MVP	Troy Hudson (ORL): +18.6%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.4 [750]		LVP	Othella Harrington (NYK): -9.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.20	0.02	0.03	17	81%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	13	85%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	8	72%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	6	67%	0.04	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	14	53%	-0.01	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	7	20%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	11	92%	0.08	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	17	67%	0.13	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	20	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	17	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	27.4	15.7	27.0	1.8	25.4	123.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +42.1%

NYK -1.3%

ORL +2.3%

ORL +5.7%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.6	113.7	102.1	102.3
season	14.6	15.9		104.6	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.9	13.2	13.7	17.5	14.3
NYK	17.8	15.0	17.7	13.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	76	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.01	22	-11	33	14.4	13.6	0.87	16.2	15.6	0.53
Monty Williams	66	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.04	20	-9	29	13.9	15.1	-1.14	16.9	14.2	2.70
Darrell Armstrong	42	42	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-4	19	14.6	14.0	0.66	17.0	15.3	1.67
Patrick Ewing	34	35	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	0	11	15.0	13.9	1.18	17.4	15.2	2.15
Tracy McGrady	70	71	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	6	-1	14.5	13.6	0.86	16.2	15.6	0.56
Pat Garrity	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	14	-17	14.0	14.9	-0.93	14.9	18.7	-3.79
Troy Hudson	53	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	15	-19	14.0	14.6	-0.66	15.3	17.0	-1.67
Jaren Jackson	54	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	14	-17	14.4	14.1	0.31	14.7	18.0	-3.28
Andrew DeClercq	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	13	-15	9.5	14.4	-4.88	19.5	16.0	3.53
Don Reid	11	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	17	-23	13.3	14.4	-1.13	17.7	15.8	1.95

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	33	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-21	31	13.7	17.3	-3.55	16.4	13.1	3.28
Howard Eisley	21	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-9	7	17.2	15.7	1.47	11.8	15.0	-3.25
Clar. Weatherspoon	50	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.26	6	-17	23	14.7	17.5	-2.75	15.4	13.0	2.46
Shandon Anderson	18	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-1	-9	14.3	16.5	-2.18	13.2	14.5	-1.37
Latrell Sprewell	81	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-8	5	16.4	14.0	2.40	14.4	13.6	0.74
Mark Jackson	41	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	8	-27	17.3	15.1	2.24	13.8	14.6	-0.73
Othella Harrington	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-1	-9	16.6	14.8	1.79	13.8	15.3	-1.56
Allan Houston	91	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	16.1	15.2	0.83	14.4	11.5	2.90
Kurt Thomas	76	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	7	-25	16.4	14.6	1.83	13.9	15.6	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.2%
ORL 117, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NYK 99, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%