NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	4.6 [936]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +18.1%
LA Clippers	96		Comeback	1.2 [870]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -6.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.01	-0.01	14	72%	0.22	2	-0.04	11	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	8	64%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Zach Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	13	41%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	17	40%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	18	41%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.01	0.05	9	62%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	12	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	13	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.19	0.01	-0.13	26	33%	0.02	4	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.4	27.0	16.6	28.5	2.6	31.2	133.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +18.3%

POR +2.0%

POR +21.8%

POR +3.1%

POR +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	12.1	14.7	103.0	95.0	107.5
season	15.2	14.2		107.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.3		109.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.0	14.4	13.5	20.8	16.4
LAC	11.8	13.8	14.2	8.3	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	68	66	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-6	20	16.5	16.1	0.45	12.0	12.4	-0.43
Damian Lillard	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-3	14	16.4	16.5	-0.09	12.0	12.5	-0.55
CJ McCollum	75	77	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-3	14	15.8	18.1	-2.32	12.5	11.0	1.41
Jusuf Nurkic	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-2	12	16.4	16.4	-0.04	12.2	12.0	0.13
Evan Turner	63	62	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	0	8	17.1	15.2	1.94	11.9	12.5	-0.60
Pat Connaughton	44	45	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	12	-16	17.3	15.7	1.59	11.2	12.8	-1.58
Ed Davis	43	43	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	10	-12	16.4	16.4	0.04	12.0	12.2	-0.13
Shabazz Napier	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	10	-12	15.5	17.1	-1.57	12.7	11.6	1.10
Zach Collins	33	34	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	14	-20	16.1	16.5	-0.45	12.7	11.8	0.93

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	12.3	12.0	0.29	16.7	16.3	0.40
Sam Dekker	33	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-9	10	11.8	12.2	-0.40	17.3	16.0	1.29
Sindarius Thornwell	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	1	-10	13.2	11.4	1.77	15.1	17.2	-2.07
Lou Williams	83	82	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.28	0	-8	8	11.6	14.6	-2.97	16.6	15.5	1.07
Milos Teodosic	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-11	14	11.7	12.7	-0.95	17.0	15.4	1.65
Danilo Gallinari	52	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-6	4	11.6	12.7	-1.08	16.9	15.8	1.06
Wesley Johnson	57	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	7	-22	13.1	10.8	2.26	15.1	18.1	-3.04
Tyrone Wallace	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.16	-9	1	-10	12.1	12.2	-0.05	16.8	15.3	1.48
DeAndre Jordan	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	12.1	12.2	-0.05	16.1	17.2	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
TOR 94, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NYK 99, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%