NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	5.4 [706]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +11.3%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.2 [937]		LVP	Reggie Slater (TOR): -16.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.01	20	60%	0.18	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	17	66%	0.14	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	73%	0.17	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	7	28%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	14	61%	0.11	5	-0.11	3	67%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	11	76%	0.09	6	-0.14	12	83%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	12	43%	-0.06	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	26.7	15.6	25.6	2.3	37.3	132.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.7%

TOR -4.8%

CLE +7.3%

CLE +7.5%

CLE +10.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.6	109.6	98.9	102.5
season	15.4	15.5		99.4	98.7
opponent	14.8	16.0		108.2	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	14.6	15.8	15.5	15.0
TOR	16.0	16.0	16.2	13.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-3	15	15.3	11.3	3.98	15.6	14.5	1.10
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	81	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.23	9	0	9	15.0	14.9	0.05	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Brevin Knight	60	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-9	27	14.1	16.5	-2.40	16.2	14.1	2.08
Bob Sura	54	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	7	-5	14.8	15.2	-0.36	14.6	16.7	-2.09
Shawn Kemp	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	2	5	15.0	15.0	-0.04	15.9	14.5	1.40
Vitaly Potapenko	23	23	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	14.4	15.1	-0.71	14.5	15.8	-1.30
Cedric Henderson	71	72	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	12	-15	15.5	13.5	1.97	15.6	15.1	0.49
Danny Ferry	12	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	15.7	14.9	0.90	16.6	15.3	1.33
Carl Thomas	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	5.0	15.1	-10.08	0.0	15.7	-15.67
Scott Brooks	11	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	16.2	14.8	1.37	14.3	15.7	-1.34

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Garner	2	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-8	7	7.5	15.7	-8.18	3.0	15.4	-12.36
Marcus Camby	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-5	1	17.2	15.0	2.16	14.9	15.0	-0.14
Walt Williams	56	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.29	7	-16	23	14.2	17.4	-3.23	15.7	13.9	1.71
Tracy McGrady	47	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-8	7	16.1	15.0	1.11	14.5	15.4	-0.88
John Wallace	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-3	-3	15.7	15.2	0.53	14.6	15.5	-0.93
Oliver Miller	69	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	15.6	15.2	0.48	15.8	13.1	2.69
Reggie Slater	62	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	15.6	15.3	0.26	15.1	14.7	0.39
Damon Stoudamire	77	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	7	-23	15.6	14.9	0.76	14.6	17.0	-2.45
Doug Christie	86	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	2	-13	15.4	16.6	-1.16	15.1	13.4	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 118, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	94.4%
MIA 94, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MIA 76, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%