inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 76 Excitement5.5 [685] MVPVoshon Lenard (MIA): +13.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 68 Comeback1.2 [684] LVPKenny Anderson (POR): -28.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.130,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.03-0.01781%0.1300.002100%0.01
Terry Mills0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.02757%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Duane Causwell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.01771%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Eric Murdock-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01837%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.01-0.021347%0.003-0.05667%-0.02
Dan Majerle-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.140,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.02812%-0.082-0.0600%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.13-0.05-0.011841%-0.073-0.10862%-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00186%0.0200.00580%0.00
Vincent Askew00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arvydas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.01478%0.043-0.081080%-0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00420%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Isaiah Rider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.011739%-0.062-0.06250%-0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.020.021240%-0.101-0.03667%-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.0140%-0.101-0.0420%-0.04
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.13-0.07-0.011646%-0.035-0.15560%-0.03
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.18-0.11-0.011015%-0.174-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.71.825.115.427.22.028.0128.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +35.0%
POR -1.6%
POR -7.9%
MIA +20.9%
MIA +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPORNBAMIAPORNBA
this game17.817.315.692.782.9102.5
season15.815.9104.7101.9
opponent15.416.2100.699.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.816.718.218.517.8
POR15.721.217.015.617.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn80790.480.020.470.2580817.722.5-4.7717.121.0-3.86
Tim Hardaway66670.380.120.270.1871617.618.7-1.1316.620.3-3.65
Terry Mills45440.350.150.210.1280817.318.5-1.1318.615.72.93
Dan Majerle35340.270.230.040.0962417.518.1-0.6718.616.32.28
P.J. Brown40400.260.240.030.1544018.017.60.4116.318.2-1.91
Duane Causwell21210.260.240.030.1253219.317.31.9416.917.4-0.51
Voshon Lenard49510.250.25-0.010.1926-418.317.21.1516.618.4-1.78
Alonzo Mourning29310.170.33-0.170.0253218.017.70.3017.517.20.33
Eric Murdock16150.120.38-0.270.0917-618.717.61.1320.316.63.65
Ike Austin2928-0.050.55-0.600.13-614-2017.118.2-1.1416.617.6-1.02

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stacey Augmon110.05-0.550.61-0.012-101217.017.3-0.282.018.0-16.04
Vincent Askew1819-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-8817.917.10.7816.718.2-1.44
Jermaine O'Neal3130-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-6417.916.91.0017.717.9-0.17
Alvin Williams1314-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-2-422.216.45.7913.618.7-5.06
Kelvin Cato3031-0.16-0.340.17-0.11-2-6417.916.90.9216.918.4-1.46
Arvydas Sabonis5251-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.16-6-2-416.917.9-0.9218.416.91.46
Isaiah Rider7272-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.30-3-5216.522.6-6.0618.512.95.63
Gary Trent4846-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-113-1418.315.82.4917.418.4-0.98
Kenny Anderson7272-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.27-6-2-416.324.4-8.1118.413.94.49
Rasheed Wallace7374-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.30-6-2-417.019.3-2.3118.214.14.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 111, PHI 830.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
NJN 101, NYK 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.09,094.4%
WAS 90, TOR 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,094.3%