NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	5.7 [650]		MVP	Brent Barry (LAC): +13.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	104		Comeback	2.9 [494]		LVP	James Robinson (LAC): -29.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	26	53%	0.13	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Whitney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terry Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	21	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02	23	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Ben Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lawrence Moten	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Harvey Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	2	112%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.03	20	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.02	18	67%	0.11	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.11	0.02	12	25%	-0.18	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.3	24.6	15.6	27.1	1.8	37.0	131.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.4%

LAC -11.4%

WAS +13.9%

WAS +8.3%

WAS +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.7	15.6	113.4	108.3	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		102.8	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	13.9	15.2	16.7	15.2
LAC	12.8	17.4	14.8	13.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	87	88	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	15.1	15.6	-0.50	14.6	16.1	-1.57
Ben Wallace	70	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-5	16	15.2	15.0	0.21	15.2	13.4	1.79
Rod Strickland	91	91	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	2	2	15.3	13.2	2.12	14.4	20.0	-5.60
Terry Davis	83	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	3	0	15.6	12.7	2.85	14.1	18.2	-4.01
Tracy Murray	85	81	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	5	-4	15.9	9.7	6.26	15.3	11.5	3.74
Chris Whitney	21	17	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	3	0	13.8	15.5	-1.72	15.1	14.6	0.52
Darvin Ham	17	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	4	-2	10.9	16.1	-5.18	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Lawrence Moten	4	4	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	5	-4	13.5	15.2	-1.73	22.7	14.3	8.41
Harvey Grant	27	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	11	-16	15.0	15.2	-0.21	13.4	15.2	-1.79

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	4	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-5	4	11.0	14.8	-3.85	12.0	15.3	-3.29
Brent Barry	25	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-12	18	14.2	14.8	-0.61	16.0	14.8	1.22
Eric Piatkowski	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-8	10	14.1	15.4	-1.34	14.3	16.1	-1.74
Pooh Richardson	8	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	3	-12	19.2	14.3	4.98	17.3	15.0	2.30
Darrick Martin	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-3	0	14.3	15.5	-1.17	14.5	16.3	-1.75
Maurice Taylor	18	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	6	-18	17.3	14.1	3.19	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Lamond Murray	88	90	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-9	12	14.3	19.2	-4.98	15.0	17.3	-2.30
James Robinson	47	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	2	-10	15.1	14.3	0.78	15.6	14.8	0.77
Rodney Rogers	86	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	14.6	15.7	-1.13	15.3	13.3	2.01
Lorenzen Wright	90	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	15.0	10.0	5.00	15.5	9.2	6.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.12,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
BOS 92, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
UTA 108, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	93.2%