NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	5.2 [763]		MVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): +5.6%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	2.2 [98]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -23.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	59%	0.09	1	-0.03	14	79%	-0.01
Soumaila Samake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	16	53%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Doug Overton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.01	-0.06	13	36%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.02	-0.04	22	46%	0.07	5	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	21	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	10	48%	-0.01	3	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	30%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.05	-0.01	22	24%	-0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.3	31.5	16.5	26.4	1.5	31.7	137.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.1%

NJN +5.5%

NJN +0.6%

NYK -4.0%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	15.5	96.0	88.7	100.9
season	15.5	16.4		97.8	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.1		96.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	13.4	16.3	16.4	15.3
NYK	12.3	16.1	15.0	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	86	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	15.0	17.3	-2.27	13.9	14.9	-1.02
Johnny Newman	96	94	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	2	5	15.4	13.0	2.41	14.1	13.3	0.73
Keith Van Horn	89	87	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	2	5	15.2	16.3	-1.08	13.8	15.8	-1.96
Vladimir Stepania	20	19	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-6	21	15.7	15.2	0.52	15.6	13.7	1.91
Soumaila Samake	12	11	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	-3	15	13.0	15.7	-2.66	16.0	13.8	2.21
Evan Eschmeyer	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	15.7	14.9	0.80	14.8	13.1	1.66
Stephen Jackson	59	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	12	-15	16.6	13.4	3.16	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Aaron Williams	41	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	6	-3	14.1	16.2	-2.03	14.6	13.6	1.00
Doug Overton	40	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.19	-10	19	-29	15.4	15.3	0.07	12.5	15.1	-2.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felton Spencer	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-7	5	10.9	14.4	-3.47	13.6	15.5	-1.96
Travis Knight	35	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.3	13.9	0.43	15.7	15.1	0.59
Lavor Postell	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-6	3	12.8	14.3	-1.56	13.7	15.7	-2.04
Othella Harrington	72	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	14.4	13.0	1.35	16.0	13.3	2.69
Mark Jackson	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	13.7	14.7	-0.98	15.5	15.1	0.35
Kurt Thomas	56	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.2	12.5	2.69	15.1	15.7	-0.70
Charlie Ward	54	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	13.7	14.4	-0.72	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Latrell Sprewell	93	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	13.9	17.7	-3.87	15.7	7.6	8.14
Allan Houston	84	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	14.1	13.5	0.67	15.4	15.2	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 110, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.12,0.24,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.04,0	94.2%
ATL 102, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0	94.2%
BOS 92, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%