NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	9.1 [100]		MVP	Vernon Maxwell (CHH): +25.0%
Charlotte Hornets	93		Comeback	3.8 [379]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -35.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	69%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Dee Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	16	57%	0.05	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.05	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	3	25%	-0.10	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.23,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.29,-0.36	-0.22	-0.14	-0.00	23	42%	-0.17	7	-0.18	9	78%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.25	0.25	-0.02	0.27	0.00	12	58%	0.36	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	71%	0.15	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.03
Donald Royal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	54%	0.02	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	9	35%	-0.16	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.13,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.09	-0.16	0.03	11	58%	-0.00	6	-0.27	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	27.0	15.4	25.3	1.4	41.6	138.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +59.3%

CHH +12.2%

CHH +8.2%

BOS -18.6%

BOS -11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHH	NBA	BOS	CHH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.6	92.7	100.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		100.2	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		102.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	15.0	16.4	15.3	15.3
CHH	16.2	16.4	14.9	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	41	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-9	14	14.8	15.6	-0.88	16.7	14.2	2.47
John Thomas	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-3	2	13.7	15.9	-2.18	13.6	15.9	-2.32
Chauncey Billups	43	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-12	20	15.8	14.8	0.92	18.1	12.8	5.31
Tyus Edney	4	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	11.5	15.4	-3.92	22.5	15.1	7.45
Travis Knight	27	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-5	6	14.4	15.6	-1.24	12.5	16.4	-3.88
Bruce Bowen	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	2	-8	14.7	15.9	-1.22	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Antoine Walker	87	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	15.3	14.7	0.66	15.4	13.6	1.84
Greg Minor	19	19	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	2	-8	18.0	14.6	3.42	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Dee Brown	81	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.2	15.4	-0.17	15.5	13.9	1.61
Dana Barros	50	48	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	6	-16	14.9	15.7	-0.79	12.4	18.3	-5.91
Andrew DeClercq	49	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	0	-4	16.8	13.7	3.09	17.6	13.0	4.62

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	71	75	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.45	12	-8	20	15.8	13.2	2.60	16.0	12.6	3.44
David Wesley	75	80	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.28	14	-10	24	15.3	15.0	0.27	16.0	11.7	4.21
Anthony Mason	80	85	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-7	18	15.5	13.2	2.40	15.6	12.5	3.07
Vernon Maxwell	57	58	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.14	17	-13	30	13.3	18.2	-4.91	14.1	17.1	-2.97
Matt Geiger	66	69	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	0	4	15.0	15.7	-0.74	14.7	16.8	-2.16
J.R. Reid	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.24	-6	10	-16	15.4	15.1	0.35	15.6	15.0	0.56
Donald Royal	19	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	11	-18	17.6	14.6	3.04	16.3	15.0	1.31
B.J. Armstrong	18	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.11	-10	14	-24	15.0	15.3	-0.27	11.7	16.0	-4.21
Travis Williams	41	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.20	-15	19	-34	15.2	15.2	-0.08	15.0	15.4	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.61,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.42,1	90.8%
MIA 87, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.57,0.73,1	90.6%
POR 94, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.53,0.53,0.77,0.57,0.57,1	90.4%