NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	103		Excitement	4.6 [859]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +8.2%
Charlotte Hornets	83		Comeback	1.0 [529]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -15.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	15	59%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.04	-0.04	18	50%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chucky Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	9	54%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	60%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	44%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Travis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	5	25%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	10	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	11	39%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	15	45%	-0.09	4	-0.07	12	92%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.0	28.2	15.7	29.0	2.4	25.6	124.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.5%

CHH -4.1%

ATL +6.7%

ATL +1.7%

CHH -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHH	NBA	ATL	CHH	NBA
this game	16.1	17.4	15.6	119.8	96.5	102.5
season	16.1	15.7		105.3	104.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		102.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.6	13.6	18.1	16.1	16.1
CHH	15.4	19.1	17.0	18.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	64	66	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.07	23	-3	26	14.7	20.1	-5.45	17.9	15.6	2.29
Dikembe Mutombo	56	57	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	2	16	16.1	16.0	0.13	18.8	14.7	4.05
Alan Henderson	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	10	0	16.5	15.3	1.22	17.1	18.0	-0.91
Christian Laettner	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	10	0	15.3	17.1	-1.80	17.8	16.9	0.86
Tyrone Corbin	43	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	13	-6	16.6	15.6	1.00	17.0	17.8	-0.77
Chucky Brown	38	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	11	-2	15.3	16.7	-1.47	18.5	16.6	1.89
Steven Smith	68	68	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	10	0	16.2	15.4	0.81	17.1	18.4	-1.31
Eldridge Recasner	37	36	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	17	-14	17.6	14.9	2.75	16.6	18.0	-1.32
Chris Crawford	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	16	-12	18.0	16.0	2.04	13.5	17.7	-4.20
Anthony Miller	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	16	-12	17.7	16.0	1.75	13.7	17.6	-3.84
Drew Barry	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	16	-12	17.7	16.0	1.75	13.7	17.6	-3.84
Greg Anderson	8	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.11	-2	22	-24	18.2	15.9	2.39	12.1	17.9	-5.73

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Farmer	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-15	10	13.5	17.7	-4.20	20.2	15.8	4.39
B.J. Armstrong	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-16	12	15.6	18.8	-3.18	15.8	16.3	-0.52
Donald Royal	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	-10	0	17.9	17.1	0.73	15.8	16.2	-0.48
Bobby Phills	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-16	12	15.8	18.3	-2.52	15.6	16.4	-0.79
J.R. Reid	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.18	-16	-4	-12	16.8	18.1	-1.30	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Matt Geiger	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-12	4	18.5	15.9	2.61	16.4	15.6	0.81
Travis Williams	38	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-5	-10	17.6	17.2	0.40	16.6	15.6	1.02
Anthony Mason	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-9	-2	17.4	17.7	-0.34	15.7	18.1	-2.46
David Wesley	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	-4	-12	18.8	15.6	3.18	16.3	15.8	0.52
Glen Rice	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-9	-2	17.8	15.4	2.38	16.1	15.8	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 97, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 100, NOH 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%