NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	115		Excitement	12.4 [10]		MVP	Michael Curry (MIL): +41.6%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	11.6 [63]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -32.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.42	0.01	0.41	0.00	4	70%	0.44	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Ray Allen	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.26	0.03	0.20	-0.03	19	55%	0.29	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.03
Ricky Pierce	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.05,0.05,-0.02	0.09	-0.11	-0.00	26	63%	0.20	3	-0.22	10	80%	0.07
Elliot Perry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.00	-0.14	-0.00	15	61%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.12
Tyrone Hill	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.02	-0.18	-0.00	5	79%	0.12	2	-0.28	4	75%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.13	-0.15	-0.03	18	78%	0.24	5	-0.23	5	60%	-0.01
Herb Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	59%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	6	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.06
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	8	48%	0.11	5	-0.25	5	80%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.32	-0.32	-0.04	-0.29	-0.01	19	56%	0.04	4	-0.36	12	100%	0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	24.5	16.4	25.4	2.5	43.4	2.4	26.5	171.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +55.6%

NYK -3.8%

NYK -9.5%

MIL +16.3%

NYK -8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	15.6	112.7	109.8	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		101.1	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.1		98.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.7	17.7	15.6	15.0	13.2	15.2
NYK	15.1	17.4	16.4	14.4	18.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	94	96	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-10	23	14.9	19.2	-4.37	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Ray Allen	88	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-4	11	14.4	20.4	-6.03	16.0	15.6	0.36
Terrell Brandon	84	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.46	3	0	3	14.4	19.0	-4.58	16.2	14.9	1.23
Armen Gilliam	53	51	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	2	-1	15.5	15.0	0.47	16.2	15.7	0.41
Michael Curry	36	33	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.61	-9	12	-21	17.1	14.2	2.96	14.2	16.8	-2.57
Elliot Perry	19	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	0	3	18.3	14.5	3.73	15.0	16.2	-1.26
Ervin Johnson	41	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.25	6	-3	9	15.3	15.2	0.07	16.7	15.4	1.29
Ricky Pierce	7	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	10	-17	20.4	14.8	5.59	15.2	16.0	-0.83
Tyrone Hill	88	89	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	5	-7	15.2	15.5	-0.32	16.1	14.6	1.53

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	77	78	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-8	13	15.3	17.9	-2.61	15.4	14.7	0.62
Chris Dudley	53	52	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.26	-7	4	-11	16.1	15.8	0.38	15.6	14.8	0.80
Larry Johnson	51	53	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-4	5	16.2	15.7	0.41	15.8	14.6	1.18
Anthony Bowie	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-2	1	19.0	15.7	3.31	12.0	15.5	-3.46
Herb Williams	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	0	-3	15.8	16.0	-0.13	21.0	14.9	6.14
Buck Williams	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	2	-7	15.7	16.0	-0.29	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Chris Mills	47	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-5	7	15.9	16.0	-0.11	15.0	15.4	-0.33
John Starks	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.59	5	-8	13	16.3	15.2	1.07	15.1	15.4	-0.25
Charlie Ward	84	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	15.4	18.3	-2.89	15.3	14.9	0.42
Allan Houston	87	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	16.1	15.3	0.80	14.8	17.7	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.55,0.26,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	87.7%
BOS 88, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.76,0.71,0.43,0.16,1	87.5%
CLE 101, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.28,0	86.9%