NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	8.9 [110]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +33.2%
Miami Heat	93		Comeback	3.2 [100]		LVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): -42.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	10	74%	0.20	2	-0.07	11	64%	-0.04
Brevin Knight	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	69%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Wesley Person	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Danny Ferry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Scott Brooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Kemp	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	8	45%	-0.04	5	-0.17	6	100%	0.04

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.33	0.33	0.14	0.21	0.02	19	75%	0.46	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.05
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.17	-0.10	-0.00	11	34%	-0.19	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.42,-0.42	-0.42	-0.09	-0.34	-0.00	17	52%	-0.31	4	-0.12	10	50%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.6	29.5	15.0	30.2	2.5	39.4	146.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +9.4%

CLE +77.7%

MIA -19.8%

CLE +3.0%

MIA -20.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	15.6	101.1	101.1	102.5
season	15.4	15.8		99.4	104.7
opponent	16.2	16.0		99.8	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	15.8	16.2	16.0	15.6
MIA	12.7	17.0	15.8	17.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	54	54	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	14.9	16.5	-1.56	15.9	15.1	0.85
Cedric Henderson	90	89	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-3	7	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.6	13.3	2.30
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.63	-5	6	-11	14.7	16.9	-2.22	15.5	15.7	-0.25
Wesley Person	89	88	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	0	1	15.5	16.7	-1.22	15.3	20.7	-5.43
Brevin Knight	38	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	7	-13	15.2	15.9	-0.71	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Shawn Kemp	45	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	4	-7	15.6	15.5	0.08	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Vitaly Potapenko	56	53	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.14	7	-6	13	16.1	14.8	1.32	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Danny Ferry	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	-1	3	16.8	15.0	1.71	17.3	14.8	2.51
Scott Brooks	9	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	4	-7	20.1	15.1	5.02	15.9	15.5	0.33

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	38	40	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.24	0	-1	1	15.1	15.9	-0.81	16.9	14.6	2.32
Ike Austin	52	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-4	7	16.3	14.6	1.73	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Alonzo Mourning	70	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.44	10	-11	21	14.6	18.5	-3.93	16.1	14.0	2.16
Eric Murdock	10	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	2	-5	21.6	14.8	6.78	19.2	15.2	4.03
Duane Causwell	7	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	3	-7	20.7	15.1	5.58	9.9	16.0	-6.19
Dan Majerle	42	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	5	-11	15.6	15.5	0.08	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Voshon Lenard	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-7	13	15.4	15.7	-0.35	15.9	15.2	0.65
Tim Hardaway	82	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-3	5	14.8	21.6	-6.78	15.2	19.2	-4.03
Jamal Mashburn	86	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.48	-2	1	-3	15.4	18.0	-2.62	15.2	21.0	-5.79
Keith Askins	21	19	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.43	-11	10	-21	17.0	15.1	1.81	15.7	15.5	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	93.0%
WAS 107, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.08,0	92.5%
NJN 99, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.02,0	92.0%