NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	114		Excitement	2.6 [1175]		MVP	Vin Baker (SEA): +10.4%
Houston Rockets	80		Comeback	1.1 [1086]		LVP	Rodrick Rhodes (HOU): -13.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	12	78%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	10	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.15	-0.01	0.12	13	88%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	5	37%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Greg Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	43%	0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	14%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.08	11	68%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Charles Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.14	0.00	-0.14	3	12%	0.00	4	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joe Stephens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	29%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	11	50%	0.00	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	5	30%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	0.00	0.06	11	59%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.26	-0.01	-0.15	11	19%	-0.08	6	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	24.2	16.6	19.3	2.3	29.7	118.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +48.8%

SEA +1.2%

HOU -9.7%

SEA +6.3%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	13.0	16.8	15.6	118.8	82.5	102.5
season	15.3	15.7		109.3	104.5
opponent	15.2	16.2		105.7	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	13.4	15.7	10.1	13.0
HOU	17.9	19.4	18.6	13.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	57	56	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.37	31	3	28	14.6	10.8	3.83	18.6	14.3	4.36
Hersey Hawkins	58	56	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.33	29	5	24	14.0	11.5	2.51	17.6	15.7	1.82
Detlef Schrempf	54	52	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.17	23	11	12	14.0	11.8	2.15	18.7	14.6	4.03
Vin Baker	55	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	13	8	14.5	11.0	3.48	17.9	15.5	2.37
Jim McIlvaine	35	34	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.36	25	9	16	15.2	11.8	3.44	18.9	15.7	3.23
Sam Perkins	34	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	31	-28	13.4	12.9	0.48	17.2	16.5	0.74
Jerome Kersey	44	48	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.25	10	24	-14	11.4	14.5	-3.10	14.8	18.7	-3.94
Dale Ellis	38	40	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	35	-36	14.0	12.4	1.63	18.6	15.5	3.18
David Wingate	30	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.23	8	26	-18	10.1	14.4	-4.28	12.7	18.9	-6.15
Aaron Williams	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	24	-14	8.9	14.1	-5.10	13.2	17.7	-4.51
Stephen Howard	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	26	-18	8.6	14.0	-5.34	13.1	17.6	-4.44
Greg Anthony	39	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	31	-28	10.8	14.6	-3.83	14.3	18.6	-4.36

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Jones	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-29	24	13.9	17.3	-3.34	9.1	13.7	-4.65
Emanual Davis	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-24	14	13.2	17.7	-4.51	8.9	14.1	-5.10
Joe Stephens	23	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-23	12	12.4	18.1	-5.76	8.5	14.4	-5.83
Rodrick Rhodes	68	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.22	-10	-24	14	16.2	18.2	-2.08	12.4	14.4	-1.94
Eddie Johnson	54	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.07	-5	-29	24	16.7	16.8	-0.10	13.3	12.7	0.62
Othella Harrington	56	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-24	14	15.8	18.1	-2.36	11.8	14.5	-2.65
Brent Price	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-37	40	17.0	16.7	0.38	12.9	13.1	-0.16
Kevin Willis	54	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.37	-25	-9	-16	17.8	15.6	2.20	14.5	11.1	3.35
Matt Maloney	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.41	-27	-7	-20	18.3	15.6	2.64	14.9	11.5	3.41
Mario Elie	29	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.28	-24	-10	-14	18.2	16.2	2.08	14.4	12.4	1.94
Matt Bullard	38	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-16	-2	17.4	16.4	1.00	14.4	12.1	2.22
Charles Barkley	52	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.29	-28	-6	-22	19.2	14.0	5.11	14.4	11.3	3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DAL 126, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
NOP 105, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%