NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	126		Excitement	2.9 [1190]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +17.4%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	1.0 [1043]		LVP	Jason Thompson (SAC): -7.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.26	0.01	0.09	20	74%	0.21	2	-0.04	13	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	14	74%	0.09	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	79%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.00	0.07	16	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	36%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	21	54%	0.08	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.07	11	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	-0.01	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.6	29.8	15.7	27.5	2.6	30.2	136.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.5%

DAL +5.0%

SAC -0.8%

DAL +10.6%

DAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.7	15.3	129.9	109.1	106.0
season	15.2	15.2		107.2	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.0	15.8	14.7	16.4	14.6
SAC	15.1	15.5	13.6	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	72	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.14	26	-8	34	14.1	16.2	-2.14	14.8	14.5	0.37
Dirk Nowitzki	74	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	3	12	15.2	12.8	2.39	15.0	13.8	1.19
Jason Kidd	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	0	18	13.6	17.0	-3.35	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Erick Dampier	54	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.20	21	-3	24	15.0	14.3	0.71	15.2	14.1	1.16
Eduardo Najera	47	48	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	11	-4	14.0	15.3	-1.26	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Jason Terry	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	14	-10	13.9	15.8	-1.92	14.1	15.7	-1.66
DeShawn Stevenson	52	54	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	14	-10	15.4	13.8	1.67	15.3	14.1	1.15
Jose Juan Barea	35	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	20	-22	17.1	13.3	3.81	15.4	14.4	1.07
Rodrigue Beaubois	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	19.6	14.4	5.22	14.2	14.8	-0.57
Matt Carroll	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	16.5	14.6	1.89	16.5	14.7	1.80
Brendan Haywood	19	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	25	-32	13.2	15.0	-1.85	13.4	15.0	-1.58

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean May	9	9	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-23	28	11.1	15.1	-3.99	8.7	15.3	-6.59
Ime Udoka	1	2	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-21	24	18.0	14.7	3.30	6.5	14.8	-8.32
Jon Brockman	12	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-20	22	14.0	14.8	-0.84	15.7	14.5	1.22
Omri Casspi	51	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-20	22	14.2	15.3	-1.04	16.1	13.1	3.01
Francisco Garcia	47	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-19	20	14.3	15.2	-0.92	13.8	15.5	-1.66
Donte Greene	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	-9	0	14.5	14.8	-0.29	11.4	15.8	-4.43
Andres Nocioni	30	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.27	-21	3	-24	16.2	14.1	2.10	13.0	15.3	-2.32
Tyreke Evans	88	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-3	-12	14.7	15.3	-0.60	14.6	15.3	-0.78
Carl Landry	85	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-5	-8	14.8	14.5	0.28	15.4	10.4	5.02
Jason Thompson	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	2	-22	15.0	13.9	1.15	15.1	13.4	1.69
Beno Udrih	73	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	0.13	-25	7	-32	15.1	13.6	1.52	15.7	12.0	3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 114, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
PHX 94, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
NYK 103, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%