NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	3.0 [1141]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +12.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.1 [473]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -6.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.01	-0.06	20	56%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.02	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	14	60%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	11	55%	0.06	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	15	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.08	14	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	18	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	15	66%	0.04	7	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	268.6	1.8	28.5	19.6	24.2	3.3	28.7	374.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +35.5%

NYK +2.4%

NYK +7.9%

NYK +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.7	15.5	114.4	97.8	100.9
season	16.4	14.9		99.2	105.9
opponent	15.8	16.1		102.3	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.6	15.3	17.2	19.1	16.2
MIL	15.8	14.7	15.5	16.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	66	64	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.11	23	-9	32	15.8	17.2	-1.49	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Latrell Sprewell	64	66	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.05	20	-6	26	15.8	16.9	-1.08	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Charlie Ward	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.13	20	-6	26	16.3	15.9	0.44	15.6	15.8	-0.28
Allan Houston	75	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	2	10	15.7	18.3	-2.53	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Kurt Thomas	50	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	6	2	16.2	16.1	0.01	16.1	15.1	1.02
Glen Rice	54	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.25	-3	17	-20	16.7	15.3	1.46	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Larry Johnson	50	52	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	15	-16	16.9	15.2	1.72	16.1	15.2	0.90
Chris Childs	32	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	20	-26	15.9	16.3	-0.44	15.8	15.6	0.28
Travis Knight	1	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	17	-20	24.0	16.1	7.93	14.0	15.7	-1.71

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	48	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-19	24	15.5	15.8	-0.27	16.2	16.1	0.12
Lindsey Hunter	55	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-18	22	15.4	16.1	-0.78	16.9	15.0	1.93
Jason Caffey	35	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-9	4	16.6	15.1	1.46	16.3	16.1	0.19
Ervin Johnson	32	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	4	-22	16.5	15.2	1.23	14.2	17.3	-3.10
Glenn Robinson	69	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	2	-18	15.8	15.2	0.64	16.0	16.7	-0.78
Ray Allen	67	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	1	-16	15.7	15.6	0.06	16.6	14.8	1.83
Tim Thomas	80	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-5	-4	15.1	19.7	-4.61	16.5	13.2	3.26
Sam Cassell	69	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	2	-18	15.7	15.7	-0.08	15.7	17.4	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, NOH 69	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAC 114, CHA 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIA 89, BOS 66	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%