NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	2.6 [999]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): +13.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	88		Comeback	1.0 [517]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.22	0.01	0.10	11	92%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.08	21	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.04	1	0.00	5	40%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	13	42%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Honeycutt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Higgins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	33%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	6	83%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	10	15%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	11	35%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	16	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	26.1	15.5	26.4	2.4	25.3	120.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.0%

SAC +4.8%

CHA -10.1%

SAC +19.9%

SAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	13.2	17.5	15.6	121.3	93.6	102.8
season	14.9	16.3		102.2	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.3	13.8	12.4	14.1	13.2
CHA	20.5	16.2	17.6	15.9	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.44	28	-2	30	12.9	14.0	-1.06	18.5	14.2	4.30
DeMarcus Cousins	63	63	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.52	31	-5	36	12.5	14.6	-2.12	18.7	15.0	3.70
Tyreke Evans	48	47	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.50	30	-4	34	11.7	14.7	-2.92	20.0	14.9	5.09
Isaiah Thomas	46	48	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.24	21	5	16	12.8	13.5	-0.74	19.0	15.8	3.19
Travis Outlaw	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.41	26	0	26	12.3	14.4	-2.12	18.9	15.5	3.45
Terrence Williams	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	23	-20	13.7	13.0	0.79	16.2	17.9	-1.65
Jimmer Fredette	46	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	30	-34	14.7	11.7	2.92	14.9	20.0	-5.09
Charles Hayes	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	31	-36	14.6	12.5	2.12	15.0	18.7	-3.70
Francisco Garcia	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.14	-1	27	-28	14.4	12.5	1.95	15.3	18.7	-3.40
Donte Greene	23	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	28	-30	14.0	12.9	1.06	14.2	18.5	-4.30
Tyler Honeycutt	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	23	-20	13.5	13.0	0.47	15.6	18.3	-2.61

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-23	20	15.6	18.3	-2.61	13.5	13.0	0.47
Cory Higgins	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-18	10	15.7	18.3	-2.61	14.7	12.4	2.26
DJ White	32	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-19	12	16.0	18.2	-2.24	14.4	12.4	1.96
Matt Carroll	42	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.10	-7	-19	12	15.4	19.2	-3.75	13.2	13.1	0.04
Tyrus Thomas	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-30	34	13.6	18.9	-5.28	15.2	12.5	2.75
DeSagana Diop	22	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-19	12	15.9	18.0	-2.05	12.2	13.5	-1.33
Byron Mullens	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.14	-17	-9	-8	18.4	16.0	2.36	12.6	14.0	-1.41
Derrick Brown	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	-6	-14	19.7	15.2	4.51	12.2	14.1	-1.90
Gerald Henderson	52	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	-7	-12	19.2	15.4	3.75	13.1	13.2	-0.04
Bismack Biyombo	68	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.41	-28	2	-30	18.5	14.7	3.85	13.1	13.2	-0.07
Kemba Walker	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	-8	-10	18.3	15.7	2.61	12.4	14.7	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, MIN 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
OKC 125, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 90, NOH 67	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%