NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	2.8 [1239]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +6.4%
New Orleans Hornets	69		Comeback	1.0 [623]		LVP	Junior Harrington (NOH): -17.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	63%	0.08	1	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	12	75%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Jenkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	9	39%	-0.01	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corsley Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	52%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Alex Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
David West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	16	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	0.00	-0.04	12	8%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.7	28.3	15.6	24.0	2.6	29.5	126.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +34.5%

DET +7.5%

DET +3.3%

DET +1.6%

DET +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NOH	NBA	DET	NOH	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.5	104.5	76.7	104.0
season	16.7	16.5		103.5	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.2	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.4	15.9	16.8	16.8	16.2
NOH	16.6	15.4	17.5	15.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	73	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	2	19	16.6	14.1	2.47	16.8	13.2	3.57
Ben Wallace	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	2	19	16.2	15.9	0.30	16.6	15.0	1.60
Tayshaun Prince	73	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	1	21	16.0	17.1	-1.07	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Richard Hamilton	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	0	23	16.1	16.4	-0.33	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Rasheed Wallace	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	6	11	16.8	14.9	1.87	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Horace Jenkins	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	18	-13	15.4	16.6	-1.17	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Elden Campbell	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	20	-17	15.8	16.2	-0.39	18.5	15.8	2.76
Darvin Ham	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	18	-13	14.1	16.6	-2.51	12.7	16.9	-4.21
Darko Milicic	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	21	-19	16.0	16.2	-0.20	16.4	16.1	0.38
Carlos Delfino	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	27	-31	17.0	16.0	1.01	16.8	16.0	0.82

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	10.1	16.8	-6.64	12.2	16.6	-4.33
J.R. Smith	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-26	29	16.5	16.1	0.36	18.0	15.7	2.25
David West	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-18	13	15.7	16.2	-0.45	10.5	16.5	-5.95
George Lynch	30	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-28	33	18.8	14.9	3.88	18.1	15.3	2.73
Corsley Edwards	36	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-16	9	16.4	16.0	0.44	16.4	16.0	0.41
Matt Freije	54	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-19	15	15.8	16.8	-1.05	16.6	15.6	0.97
Chris Andersen	18	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-13	3	16.6	16.1	0.54	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Alex Garcia	46	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-16	9	18.4	13.9	4.53	17.7	14.8	2.92
Junior Harrington	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.09	-16	-7	-9	15.7	16.7	-1.02	15.4	17.2	-1.72
P.J. Brown	54	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-7	-9	16.0	16.4	-0.44	16.0	16.4	-0.41
David Wesley	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	0	-23	15.6	17.4	-1.78	15.7	17.1	-1.34
Lee Nailon	74	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.42	-32	9	-41	15.4	20.0	-4.65	15.5	19.6	-4.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
PHX 94, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIL 112, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%