inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 105 Excitement3.2 [1136] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +13.0%
Miami Heat 91 Comeback1.0 [614] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -11.4%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Gordon0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.01-0.021860%0.161-0.034100%0.01
Norris Cole0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.01-0.03955%0.061-0.00475%0.01
Omer Asik0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.000.02965%0.071-0.02560%-0.00
Luke Babbitt0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03575%0.0400.002100%0.01
Ryan Anderson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02367%0.0210.0000%0.00
Alexis Ajinca0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.03480%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Dante Cunningham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.02-0.01644%0.021-0.02475%0.00
Jeff Withey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01150%-0.001-0.002100%-0.00
Quincy Pondexter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.03638%0.012-0.021100%0.00
Tyreke Evans-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.01-0.041439%0.012-0.045100%0.02
Anthony Davis-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02833%-0.021-0.022100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.020.011377%0.162-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03467%-0.001-0.004100%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02337%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02267%-0.011-0.002100%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.001146%-0.012-0.01250%-0.01
James Ennis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.000.04457%-0.032-0.03683%-0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.031143%-0.051-0.03650%-0.01
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.100.00-0.01737%-0.034-0.062100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.012339%-0.073-0.04367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.634.215.729.71.728.7139.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +32.2%
NOP +11.9%
MIA -2.2%
NOP +5.1%
NOP +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPMIANBANOPMIANBA
this game15.914.915.1110.598.9104.2
season15.816.0106.3102.4
opponent15.315.2105.4106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP13.815.615.918.215.9
MIA16.916.514.711.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Gordon79770.56-0.060.63-0.0220-62615.617.3-1.7315.014.50.45
Omer Asik65620.50-0.000.500.0017-32016.015.60.3514.715.3-0.57
Quincy Pondexter52500.450.050.41-0.0216-21816.515.11.4316.013.62.47
Tyreke Evans76760.370.130.230.04113816.214.51.7514.616.4-1.85
Dante Cunningham50480.210.29-0.080.21014-1417.414.23.2214.415.5-1.04
Norris Cole60570.190.31-0.130.19014-1415.516.5-1.0614.316.0-1.71
Anthony Davis17170.130.37-0.23-0.0777015.016.1-1.0617.914.23.71
Luke Babbitt28270.100.40-0.300.01311-813.916.7-2.7615.514.70.86
Alexis Ajinca22210.050.45-0.39-0.0959-414.616.2-1.6113.615.3-1.68
Jeff Withey12120.000.50-0.490.15-519-2417.315.71.6714.315.0-0.67
Ryan Anderson1413-0.070.57-0.640.05-418-2214.616.1-1.5315.014.90.10

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Ennis45440.02-0.520.53-0.166-202615.614.31.2615.815.9-0.10
Shabazz Napier26260.02-0.520.53-0.228-223015.314.70.6016.215.80.39
Tyler Johnson65-0.03-0.470.440.12-5-9418.014.73.3018.015.82.24
Chris Andersen3334-0.06-0.440.39-0.205-192414.515.1-0.6216.715.41.34
Udonis Haslem3941-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-121013.615.8-2.2116.615.41.21
Luol Deng6063-0.41-0.09-0.320.15-195-2415.713.32.4115.217.2-1.93
Goran Dragic6367-0.43-0.07-0.360.10-184-2214.715.3-0.5815.716.2-0.43
Hassan Whiteside5961-0.44-0.06-0.390.11-195-2415.114.50.6215.416.7-1.34
Mario Chalmers7072-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.23-8-6-214.416.5-2.0316.115.11.04
Dwyane Wade5962-0.50-0.00-0.490.03-184-2214.715.3-0.6615.716.2-0.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 123, WAS 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,096.7%
VAN 99, LAC 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,096.5%
DAL 119, MIN 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%