NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	125		Excitement	4.8 [821]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +14.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	115		Comeback	1.6 [1084]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -23.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.05	-0.05	20	63%	0.20	3	-0.06	11	36%	-0.04
Eddie Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	-0.00	0.05	15	75%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	65%	0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	53%	-0.02	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.04	16	68%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	74%	0.06	4	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	13	59%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	58%	-0.01	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.04
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.28	-0.02	-0.06	14	36%	-0.13	6	-0.11	14	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.0	1.8	29.7	16.8	27.4	1.7	38.0	148.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.3%

LAC -3.7%

LAC -1.3%

LAL +15.6%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	15.6	125.0	112.7	102.5
season	14.8	15.5		110.0	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.8	12.7	15.2	16.9	14.0
LAC	13.4	14.4	16.8	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	42	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-7	24	13.4	14.4	-1.09	16.4	13.2	3.25
Eddie Jones	76	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	4	2	14.0	13.8	0.21	13.3	18.8	-5.56
Rick Fox	67	68	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	14.7	12.6	2.02	15.7	12.1	3.60
Kobe Bryant	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	13.1	15.1	-1.98	14.8	14.1	0.69
Derek Fisher	30	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-2	14	13.3	14.3	-1.03	16.6	13.6	2.99
Robert Horry	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	5	0	15.9	12.7	3.24	14.3	14.7	-0.42
Shaquille O'Neal	65	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	10	-10	14.7	12.7	1.92	13.7	16.2	-2.57
Nick Van Exel	71	72	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.24	-2	12	-14	14.4	13.0	1.35	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Corie Blount	51	53	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	12.0	16.1	-4.06	14.3	14.8	-0.45

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-7	4	15.5	14.0	1.51	15.3	13.3	2.08
Darrick Martin	85	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-13	16	14.6	14.0	0.62	14.0	14.1	-0.08
Lamond Murray	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-8	6	15.0	13.7	1.23	14.4	13.1	1.32
Maurice Taylor	49	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-5	0	14.7	14.4	0.30	13.3	14.6	-1.26
Eric Piatkowski	61	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-9	8	13.8	15.5	-1.70	14.6	13.2	1.34
Rodney Rogers	87	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-10	10	14.5	14.4	0.14	14.1	13.5	0.54
Keith Closs	45	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	13.5	15.3	-1.76	12.2	15.2	-3.04
Pooh Richardson	21	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	6	-22	15.1	14.4	0.78	12.7	14.3	-1.61
Brent Barry	62	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	7	-24	14.4	14.7	-0.34	14.2	13.6	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, BKN 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
NOH 95, MIN 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 101, DAL 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%