NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	3.7 [1033]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): +11.3%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [557]		LVP	Charles Oakley (NYK): -7.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	10	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.01	18	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	17	63%	0.13	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Terry Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	13	52%	0.01	3	-0.06	14	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.11	-0.00	0.11	14	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	79%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.07	19	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.3	15.4	26.7	1.7	35.6	136.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.4%

WAS +0.9%

WAS +5.3%

WAS +8.0%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	15.3	15.6	125.6	116.5	102.5
season	15.1	15.7		102.8	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.6		98.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	13.9	18.4	19.7	16.6
NYK	15.1	14.9	15.9	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	82	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-1	9	16.4	18.6	-2.27	15.2	15.9	-0.66
Calbert Cheaney	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-1	9	16.6	16.2	0.40	15.2	15.5	-0.20
Terry Davis	63	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-4	15	16.7	16.2	0.48	16.0	13.4	2.53
Chris Webber	82	82	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	16.8	13.9	2.94	15.5	13.7	1.78
Rod Strickland	62	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-2	11	16.5	16.7	-0.23	15.9	13.7	2.18
Tracy Murray	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.37	-9	16	-25	18.2	15.2	3.01	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Chris Whitney	31	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	7	-7	15.4	17.2	-1.83	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Ben Wallace	3	4	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	6	-5	9.0	16.8	-7.82	11.7	15.4	-3.69
Tim Legler	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	13.2	16.8	-3.63	14.3	15.4	-1.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Dudley	8	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	14.9	15.3	-0.44	14.8	16.8	-1.98
John Starks	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-11	15	15.5	15.0	0.47	18.1	15.0	3.02
Chris Childs	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.39	5	-12	17	15.4	15.1	0.27	18.1	14.1	3.97
Charlie Ward	39	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	6	-19	15.2	15.3	-0.08	13.9	18.4	-4.43
Buck Williams	51	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	2	-11	15.6	14.9	0.67	16.9	16.1	0.73
Allan Houston	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.8	16.5	-1.72	16.2	17.5	-1.34
Chris Mills	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	16.1	14.0	2.12	17.1	15.6	1.45
Charles Oakley	57	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	5	-17	14.9	15.8	-0.88	15.7	17.9	-2.22
Larry Johnson	79	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	15.0	17.1	-2.08	16.4	17.6	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, PHX 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0	96.6%
MIN 100, ORL 71	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
PHX 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%