NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	2.5 [1214]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ORL): +6.5%
Orlando Magic	71		Comeback	1.0 [603]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -11.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	15	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	7	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ndudi Ebi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	25	40%	-0.05	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.00	0.08	15	74%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	12	45%	0.00	4	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	10	20%	-0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.1	3.4	31.1	18.5	26.9	2.7	30.6	145.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.8%

MIN +8.8%

MIN +16.6%

MIN +8.6%

MIN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ORL	NBA	MIN	ORL	NBA
this game	17.7	16.2	15.7	117.6	83.5	100.5
season	15.6	15.7		103.2	100.9
opponent	15.4	16.1		108.2	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.6	17.0	18.9	18.3	17.7
ORL	16.1	17.2	17.1	14.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	55	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	3	23	18.4	16.4	2.02	16.9	14.9	2.02
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	7	15	17.9	16.9	0.98	16.6	14.7	1.92
Mark Madsen	45	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.28	23	6	17	17.4	18.0	-0.60	16.3	16.1	0.20
Fred Hoiberg	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.24	21	8	13	18.9	16.3	2.58	16.3	16.0	0.37
Sam Cassell	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	16	-3	16.7	18.9	-2.25	16.3	16.1	0.23
Keith McLeod	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	13	3	18.9	16.7	2.25	16.1	16.3	-0.23
Michael Olowokandi	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	21	-13	16.0	18.9	-2.85	18.1	14.7	3.40
Gary Trent	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.18	10	19	-9	19.2	17.0	2.22	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Trenton Hassell	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	27	-25	16.2	19.0	-2.77	14.8	17.3	-2.55
Ndudi Ebi	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	17.5	17.7	-0.23	12.9	16.5	-3.64
Ervin Johnson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	17.5	17.7	-0.23	12.9	16.5	-3.64
Quincy Lewis	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	16.3	17.9	-1.65	12.8	16.7	-3.86

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reece Gaines	29	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-27	25	15.2	16.7	-1.52	17.7	17.7	-0.06
Pat Garrity	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-22	15	15.6	16.4	-0.80	18.9	17.1	1.72
Shammond Williams	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.19	-12	-17	5	15.6	16.8	-1.21	18.5	16.8	1.76
Zaza Pachulia	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-18	7	15.2	16.7	-1.51	17.6	17.7	-0.13
Keith Bogans	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-16	3	15.6	16.8	-1.22	18.0	17.3	0.67
Steven Hunter	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	-12	-5	15.8	16.4	-0.64	16.7	18.3	-1.65
Juwan Howard	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-14	-1	16.9	14.5	2.39	17.1	19.3	-2.27
Drew Gooden	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.30	-23	-6	-17	16.8	15.0	1.80	18.0	17.2	0.86
Tracy McGrady	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-9	-11	16.8	15.5	1.32	17.3	18.1	-0.78
Tyronn Lue	55	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.28	-25	-4	-21	16.8	15.1	1.72	17.6	18.0	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
IND 115, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
WAS 107, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%