NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	2.7 [1241]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +11.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	82		Comeback	1.0 [1287]		LVP	Darius Morris (LAL): -11.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	16	62%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Gary Neal	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	11	41%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	9	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	12	64%	0.04	5	-0.07	1	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	17	41%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	54%	0.01	5	-0.09	9	33%	-0.06
Darius Morris	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	12	31%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	1.0	31.2	18.4	27.4	3.4	26.3	135.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +14.9%

SAS +12.2%

LAL -6.7%

SAS +27.9%

SAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.4	112.0	90.1	104.1
season	15.2	14.9		106.4	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.1		105.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.4	15.5	15.4	16.6	15.5
LAL	16.9	16.5	14.6	16.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	58	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	8	5	15.6	15.3	0.25	16.7	14.6	2.05
Gary Neal	41	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	8	5	15.0	15.8	-0.77	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Tony Parker	50	49	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.03	11	10	1	15.4	15.6	-0.17	16.5	15.4	1.11
Danny Green	45	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	15	-9	15.8	15.1	0.72	16.5	15.5	1.01
Tim Duncan	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	14	-7	15.9	14.9	0.99	16.5	15.3	1.23
Aron Baynes	31	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	6	9	16.4	15.0	1.42	17.0	15.5	1.52
DeJuan Blair	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.18	14	7	7	14.9	15.9	-0.99	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Manu Ginobili	42	41	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	12	-3	14.0	16.7	-2.72	14.6	17.1	-2.53
Cory Joseph	36	37	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.15	12	9	3	14.9	15.8	-0.88	15.8	16.2	-0.41
Matt Bonner	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	18	-15	15.5	15.4	0.13	15.6	16.3	-0.75
Tracy McGrady	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	17.1	15.3	1.81	17.2	15.9	1.37
Nando De Colo	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	16.9	15.3	1.53	17.1	15.9	1.24
Patty Mills	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	19.3	15.2	4.12	12.8	16.2	-3.39

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	12.8	16.2	-3.39	19.3	15.2	4.12
Jordan Hill	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-19	17	15.0	16.4	-1.44	16.6	15.0	1.58
Antawn Jamison	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-11	1	15.4	16.6	-1.27	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Dwight Howard	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-8	-5	16.6	15.5	1.08	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Darius Morris	69	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	-6	-9	16.1	15.7	0.42	15.2	16.5	-1.35
Chris Duhon	80	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-9	-3	15.9	16.4	-0.41	15.7	14.0	1.66
Earl Clark	59	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-8	-5	16.4	15.3	1.01	16.5	13.8	2.66
Pau Gasol	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.15	-19	-2	-17	16.8	14.1	2.64	15.6	15.3	0.26
Andrew Goudelock	65	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	2	-25	15.6	16.9	-1.29	14.7	17.4	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 100, ORL 71	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
OKC 101, CHI 69	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
CHI 110, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%