NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	2.4 [1214]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +4.6%
Denver Nuggets	75		Comeback	1.2 [742]		LVP	George McCloud (DEN): -7.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	0.00	0.10	18	68%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Etan Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	7	33%	0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.01	-0.08	9	33%	-0.01	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	12	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	11	59%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mengke Bateer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	31%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	53%	-0.00	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	8	43%	-0.03	3	-0.00	5	100%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	29.6	16.4	25.4	1.7	26.3	126.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +19.0%

WAS +4.4%

WAS +13.4%

WAS +15.2%

DEN -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.6	112.6	79.8	102.3
season	16.5	16.1		102.2	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.0	14.1	13.4	17.0	15.5
DEN	14.7	16.6	15.4	13.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	67	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.37	27	5	22	15.9	14.8	1.08	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Richard Hamilton	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.53	30	2	28	14.8	17.7	-2.89	15.5	13.2	2.36
Popeye Jones	41	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.57	31	1	30	14.2	16.5	-2.29	17.8	13.0	4.81
Christian Laettner	37	39	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.41	24	8	16	13.0	17.2	-4.13	16.1	14.1	1.97
Michael Jordan	32	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	25	-18	15.3	15.7	-0.40	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Tyrone Nesby	39	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	20	-8	17.8	13.9	3.90	14.6	15.1	-0.55
Etan Thomas	59	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	28	-24	17.5	12.4	5.09	13.9	16.4	-2.49
Courtney Alexander	57	58	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.37	18	14	4	15.2	16.0	-0.75	14.1	16.2	-2.15
Kwame Brown	32	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	29	-26	15.9	15.4	0.54	13.8	15.6	-1.84
Chris Whitney	22	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	29	-26	14.3	15.9	-1.66	16.0	14.6	1.44
Jahidi White	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	31	-30	16.4	15.4	1.05	12.2	15.5	-3.22

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zendon Hamilton	32	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-29	26	13.2	15.8	-2.68	16.4	15.1	1.30
Carlos Arroyo	43	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-34	36	14.6	15.2	-0.59	16.0	15.1	0.93
Kenny Satterfield	49	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-30	28	14.5	15.4	-0.82	16.5	14.4	2.10
Donnell Harvey	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-33	34	14.0	15.7	-1.74	16.0	15.2	0.83
Mengke Bateer	34	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-27	22	14.1	15.4	-1.22	17.2	14.6	2.57
Voshon Lenard	9	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-22	12	16.3	14.8	1.56	15.4	15.6	-0.11
Ryan Bowen	30	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.34	-18	-14	-4	14.7	15.0	-0.33	13.5	16.5	-2.97
Antonio McDyess	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.38	-21	-11	-10	15.8	14.1	1.68	14.4	16.6	-2.18
Calbert Cheaney	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.24	-19	-13	-6	15.4	14.4	0.92	16.0	15.0	1.00
Juwan Howard	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.48	-28	-4	-24	15.5	14.4	1.12	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Tim Hardaway	36	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.50	-29	-3	-26	15.5	14.6	0.98	14.6	16.1	-1.55
George McCloud	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.43	-28	-4	-24	15.7	13.7	1.91	14.8	16.6	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
TOR 122, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 100, ORL 71	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%