NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	99		Excitement	3.3 [1099]		MVP	John Wallace (PHX): +4.5%
Phoenix Suns	96		Comeback	1.1 [220]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -11.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	81%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.06	22	53%	0.08	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Avery Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
George McCloud	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	14	38%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Shawnelle Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Raef LaFrentz	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	9	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.06	9	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	15	58%	0.03	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.08	17	59%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	53%	0.00	4	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.01	11	54%	-0.03	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	6	7%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	30.4	14.7	30.0	2.7	33.0	137.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +18.8%

DEN +8.3%

DEN +12.1%

DEN +9.6%

DEN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	13.4	15.6	100.0	97.0	102.3
season	16.1	15.1		99.7	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.5	15.2	14.7	18.7	15.7
PHX	16.1	14.2	11.0	12.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-6	15	16.1	14.5	1.54	14.2	10.7	3.53
James Posey	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-5	13	15.7	15.9	-0.20	14.3	9.9	4.48
Raef LaFrentz	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-11	25	14.5	17.8	-3.30	13.7	12.8	0.95
Scott Williams	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-6	15	16.4	14.8	1.58	14.3	12.1	2.11
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	1	1	14.5	18.4	-3.90	13.0	14.2	-1.18
George McCloud	61	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.54	-12	15	-27	16.8	13.9	2.94	12.7	14.5	-1.77
Isaiah Rider	36	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	3	-3	15.4	15.9	-0.41	12.0	14.2	-2.18
Shawnelle Scott	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	3	-3	16.3	15.6	0.69	13.0	13.4	-0.44
Avery Johnson	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.48	-15	18	-33	16.4	15.2	1.22	11.3	15.0	-3.68

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.65	23	-26	49	10.4	14.9	-4.53	17.9	14.6	3.26
Charlie Bell	27	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-9	15	12.4	13.8	-1.39	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Alton Ford	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	15.8	13.0	2.79	17.0	15.5	1.47
Jud Buechler	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	0	-3	13.1	13.4	-0.35	15.1	15.8	-0.71
John Wallace	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	13.4	13.4	-0.02	15.8	15.6	0.18
Tony Delk	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.56	12	-15	27	12.1	16.3	-4.23	16.4	14.2	2.16
Shawn Marion	82	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.50	7	-10	17	13.5	12.8	0.75	16.1	13.9	2.19
Rodney Rogers	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.21	-18	15	-33	15.4	12.4	2.99	13.7	16.7	-3.02
Stephon Marbury	69	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	4	-11	13.3	13.5	-0.12	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Anfernee Hardaway	37	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.25	-24	21	-45	16.4	11.6	4.82	14.2	16.6	-2.34
Tom Gugliotta	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	1	-5	13.5	13.1	0.37	15.4	16.9	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0	96.6%
DET 83, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
NJN 102, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%