NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	102		Excitement	3.3 [1145]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +12.6%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	1.2 [511]		LVP	Joey Graham (TOR): -7.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	0.00	0.05	17	73%	0.19	5	-0.06	14	86%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	12	68%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	17	59%	0.06	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	2	10%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	8	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	14	46%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.10	13	71%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	54%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	28.5	16.4	30.6	2.5	29.2	132.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.0%

NJN +4.5%

NJN +19.3%

TOR -9.6%

NJN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.6	106.2	97.9	104.4
season	15.7	15.6		102.1	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		110.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	16.2	13.7	19.0	15.5
TOR	17.2	14.5	14.6	12.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-4	18	15.2	16.8	-1.69	15.1	13.8	1.29
Vince Carter	80	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-6	22	15.7	14.6	1.04	14.9	14.5	0.38
Jason Kidd	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-2	14	15.5	15.5	-0.07	15.1	14.0	1.04
Nenad Krstic	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-1	12	16.3	14.6	1.73	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Marc Jackson	50	47	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	2	6	13.4	17.8	-4.40	15.7	13.9	1.77
Jason Collins	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	7	-4	16.6	13.8	2.81	14.8	14.9	-0.16
Jeff McInnis	36	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	16	-22	15.6	15.4	0.11	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Clifford Robinson	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	10	-10	14.3	16.0	-1.70	15.2	14.7	0.56
Lamond Murray	15	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	10	-10	15.7	15.4	0.29	13.5	15.1	-1.53
Zoran Planinic	11	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	14	-18	16.5	15.4	1.19	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Jacque Vaughn	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	22.5	15.3	7.16	0.0	15.0	-14.98
Scott Padgett	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	22.5	15.3	7.16	0.0	15.0	-14.98

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-8	6	13.7	14.9	-1.23	12.5	15.7	-3.19
Matt Bonner	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-16	22	16.1	14.5	1.64	15.8	15.4	0.37
Rafael Araujo	13	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-4	-2	15.6	14.7	0.92	9.9	16.3	-6.37
Loren Woods	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-4	-2	17.1	14.2	2.99	14.7	15.7	-0.99
Charlie Villanueva	57	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-14	18	14.1	16.0	-1.95	16.7	13.4	3.36
Jose Calderon	65	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-15	20	13.9	16.9	-3.05	16.1	14.1	1.94
Mike James	61	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.4	13.8	1.59	15.3	15.8	-0.41
Morris Peterson	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-13	16	13.4	17.3	-3.92	16.4	13.9	2.56
Joey Graham	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	4	-18	13.9	15.6	-1.67	16.0	15.1	0.90
Jalen Rose	43	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	10	-30	17.0	13.0	4.02	14.2	16.6	-2.37
Chris Bosh	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	6	-22	15.1	13.3	1.77	15.1	17.6	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHI 85, ORL 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DET 84, NJN 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%