NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	113		Excitement	8.8 [125]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +14.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	11.7 [20]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -28.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.16,0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	22	56%	0.24	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.08
Jim Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	13	76%	0.14	2	-0.04	11	100%	0.05
Theo Ratliff	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	74%	0.14	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Terry Cummings	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Rex Walters	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	12	25%	-0.16	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.12	0.00	19	58%	0.26	3	-0.14	7	29%	-0.07
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	0.03	10	57%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-0.03	17	43%	-0.13	4	-0.07	3	0%	-0.16
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.07	-0.21	0.00	18	43%	-0.29	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	33.0	16.4	25.4	2.4	41.2	148.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +12.7%

PHI +49.8%

LAL -17.7%

PHI +2.0%

PHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	15.6	116.5	108.1	102.5
season	15.4	14.8		99.7	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	14.6	17.6	17.2	15.5
LAL	13.1	15.4	14.4	12.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	86	87	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.43	18	-12	30	14.9	20.4	-5.46	13.6	15.8	-2.22
Terry Cummings	35	38	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.50	12	-6	18	12.8	17.1	-4.31	15.1	13.1	2.03
Allen Iverson	96	99	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-3	12	15.7	0.0	15.69	13.9	0.0	13.88
Theo Ratliff	58	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	5	-4	16.6	13.9	2.64	12.2	16.1	-3.89
Clar. Weatherspoon	35	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	-4	14	14.4	16.1	-1.72	15.5	12.9	2.65
Aaron McKie	16	19	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	-1	8	12.0	16.2	-4.22	18.7	12.7	5.95
Mark Davis	74	74	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	13	-20	16.2	13.4	2.74	13.2	15.9	-2.73
Anthony Parker	1	0	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	0.0	15.7	-15.69	0.0	13.9	-13.88
Rex Walters	18	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	12	-18	18.9	14.7	4.20	12.9	14.1	-1.14
Derrick Coleman	66	66	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.11	-11	17	-28	16.6	13.2	3.48	13.7	14.3	-0.68

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	66	64	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-10	14	14.7	12.2	2.50	16.0	14.6	1.39
Derek Fisher	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	0	-6	14.4	13.7	0.75	13.7	16.2	-2.49
Rick Fox	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-7	8	13.3	14.9	-1.57	16.2	14.1	2.10
Elden Campbell	57	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.11	-13	7	-20	14.4	13.1	1.28	16.6	14.0	2.56
Kobe Bryant	66	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	14.3	13.0	1.27	15.3	16.0	-0.78
Shaquille O'Neal	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.44	2	-8	10	13.2	15.2	-2.00	15.0	16.6	-1.59
Nick Van Exel	74	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-6	6	13.7	14.4	-0.75	16.2	13.7	2.49
Eddie Jones	76	74	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.34	-19	13	-32	13.4	15.4	-1.97	14.4	19.2	-4.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.46,0.32,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, ORL 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	90.1%
OKC 103, MEM 100	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	90.0%
WAS 89, HOU 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.17,0	89.9%