NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	11.6 [16]		MVP	Armen Gilliam (MIL): +6.9%
New Jersey Nets	112		Comeback	8.0 [150]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -47.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	10	68%	0.14	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.06	0.01	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Ricky Pierce	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	14	40%	-0.09	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	0.01	-0.22	0.04	23	54%	-0.21	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.13
Glenn Robinson	-0.47	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.16,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.25,-0.46,-0.48	-0.15	-0.33	-0.00	22	54%	-0.18	9	-0.29	10	90%	0.11

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.22,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	14	64%	0.24	5	-0.27	11	73%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.09	0.03	14	63%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.3,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.16	-0.04	18	53%	-0.15	6	-0.07	11	100%	0.19
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.22	-0.06	26	46%	-0.17	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	15	28%	-0.27	3	-0.05	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.9	1.8	26.3	15.4	28.4	1.6	38.4	1.7	21.9	1.6	15.0	176.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +9.9%

NJN +1.5%

NJN +52.5%

MIL -20.0%

NJN +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.6	92.9	100.9	102.5
season	16.0	15.6		101.1	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		103.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	16.1	17.7	14.3	15.2	17.1	15.9
NJN	12.0	15.0	15.7	20.8	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	93	94	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.34	11	-19	30	15.4	17.5	-2.04	15.2	16.9	-1.71
Andrew Lang	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-5	2	20.2	15.4	4.82	16.0	15.4	0.61
Ricky Pierce	7	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-1	-6	18.0	15.6	2.37	15.5	15.4	0.07
Ervin Johnson	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	14.4	16.4	-1.96	13.1	16.4	-3.33
Tony Smith	11	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	1	-10	17.0	15.6	1.36	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Michael Curry	44	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	1	-10	16.8	15.1	1.72	16.6	14.7	1.87
Tyrone Hill	105	104	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-7	6	15.6	18.0	-2.37	15.4	15.6	-0.15
Ray Allen	105	105	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-7	6	15.6	18.4	-2.83	15.3	17.8	-2.54
Armen Gilliam	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	16.2	15.3	0.91	16.2	14.4	1.81
Glenn Robinson	94	94	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	2	-12	15.5	17.1	-1.59	15.8	13.6	2.11

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	96	98	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-1	10	15.1	17.5	-2.35	15.6	16.9	-1.23
Michael Cage	25	26	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-3	14	14.7	15.7	-0.97	17.5	15.3	2.24
Kendall Gill	103	103	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	0	8	15.1	19.6	-4.52	15.6	18.1	-2.54
David Benoit	16	17	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	3	2	17.3	15.1	2.20	18.1	15.4	2.76
Keith Van Horn	105	105	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	3	2	15.5	14.7	0.81	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Sam Cassell	92	92	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-1	10	15.4	15.7	-0.37	15.0	19.4	-4.47
Kevin Edwards	11	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	2	4	15.5	15.4	0.02	17.6	15.6	2.06
Sherman Douglas	23	24	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	16	-24	17.0	15.0	1.98	18.0	15.2	2.83
Jayson Williams	84	84	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.19	-5	13	-18	15.6	14.8	0.87	15.3	17.1	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.24,0.16,0.46,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, CHA 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.73,1	90.0%
POR 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.91,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.68,0.58,1	87.7%
DEN 102, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.42,1	87.3%