NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	3.5 [1061]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +10.1%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	1.6 [1073]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -15.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	6	73%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dee Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	26	40%	-0.04	6	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	14	79%	0.15	4	-0.05	15	80%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	12	72%	0.10	6	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	50%	0.03	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	14	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	0	0%	0.00	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	26.2	15.6	30.1	1.7	27.4	127.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.2%

SAS +14.5%

SAS +15.6%

BOS -9.9%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAS	NBA	BOS	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	12.9	15.6	87.8	102.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		100.2	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.1		97.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	17.6	16.2	16.3	16.3
SAS	12.8	14.5	12.1	12.5	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Edney	23	24	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.34	14	-29	43	14.3	16.9	-2.60	12.9	12.9	-0.06
Roy Rogers	15	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-23	31	13.5	16.8	-3.31	11.1	13.3	-2.21
Greg Minor	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-21	27	14.2	17.3	-3.10	14.1	12.4	1.74
Dee Brown	20	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-16	17	17.0	16.2	0.90	12.4	13.0	-0.68
Bruce Bowen	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-10	5	16.0	16.6	-0.55	13.6	12.3	1.37
Ron Mercer	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	-3	-9	18.0	14.8	3.20	13.1	12.7	0.44
Andrew DeClercq	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-6	-3	15.9	16.7	-0.81	13.8	12.1	1.73
Travis Knight	29	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	2	-19	17.2	16.0	1.24	11.6	13.5	-1.93
Chauncey Billups	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-2	-11	16.6	16.0	0.58	12.7	13.2	-0.47
Dana Barros	22	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.12	-15	0	-15	17.8	15.9	1.85	12.3	13.1	-0.74
Walter McCarty	77	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	3	-21	15.8	18.3	-2.48	12.5	14.1	-1.59
Antoine Walker	79	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	0	-15	17.2	12.9	4.27	13.0	12.4	0.62

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	70	69	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.37	31	-16	47	12.2	14.7	-2.50	17.7	13.1	4.59
Jaren Jackson	79	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	1	13	13.1	12.2	0.84	17.2	12.3	4.97
Avery Johnson	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-4	23	13.0	12.7	0.23	16.3	16.3	0.02
Tim Duncan	76	77	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	0	15	13.2	11.9	1.37	16.1	17.4	-1.33
Sean Elliott	44	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.09	14	1	13	12.4	13.4	-1.00	18.0	14.8	3.22
Cory Alexander	33	31	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	15	-15	13.6	12.6	1.08	15.5	16.7	-1.15
Monty Williams	59	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	12	-9	13.2	12.5	0.75	14.5	18.8	-4.29
Chuck Person	46	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.43	-11	26	-37	14.3	11.8	2.51	15.3	17.2	-1.94
Carl Herrera	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	7.2	13.3	-6.12	11.4	16.6	-5.20
Malik Rose	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	7.2	13.3	-6.12	11.4	16.6	-5.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 107, WAS 125	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DAL 104, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 90, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%